I made this posting in good faith. I hope next time, people check their facts before they start harassing someone making a posting. I'm now glad I didn't include the final selection point.

Hi Roadrunner,

Perhaps you could read the entire thread again and appreciate the purpose of my words "in the context intended" in my second sentence.

Good luck with your system, Roadrunner. I hope it brings some good results. Look forward to you posting the weekly selections.

Beep! Beep! :smile:

Orange,

[quote]
On 2002-06-18 21:45, mr magic wrote:
"The limit weight for nearly all races is 53kgs. Your system requires you to place bets on horses that carry UNDER 53kgs. Therefore your selections in nearly all races are carrying under the limit weight which of course means they must be ridden by apprentices claiming an allowance."

Clearly it is not correct in the context it was intended as only NSW has a 53kg limit weight - therefore its not possible for "nearly all races" to have a weight limit of 53kgs.

As I pointed out the majority of races in Vic and Qld have limit weights of 52kgs.

However, I am aware that most experienced punters already know this.

I hope I have enlightened a few unexperienced people (twice).










[ This Message was edited by: Roadrunner on 2002-06-19 19:51 ]

4 bets on saturday using this system for 1 win paying about $15.

How about narrowing it down a bit more by looking at class of race and distance analizing past results? Not that 25% at that odds really need it!

I wish I had access to a database, and that my PC skills were a bit better...

Sigh...

[ This Message was edited by: supersoul on 2002-06-25 13:38 ]

If anyone has done a testing of the system, could you please give the results as soon as possible?

Glenno i can do it for Sydney or Melbourne if you give me a list a trainers you want classified as a 'top trainer'.

For my list of 'top trainers' in melbourne since 1/1/2003 it gives the following:
Wins = 20
Starts = 241
Places = 81
S/R = 8.3%
LOT = 27.2%

And for Sydney since 1/1/2003 it gives the following:
Wins = 26
Starts = 320
Places = 73
S/R = 8.1%
LOT = 18.8%

I could classify a 'top trainer' as the number one trainer.

tweaked
 

This thing is a big loser Glendo in it's current form. Resorting to "top" trainers does more harm than good so I dropped that idea altogether in coming up with the following:

Sat Metro Syd + Melb only
5yo+ aged horses eliminated (sorry Kenchar)
eliminate maidens (you know who you are)
can not be first up
must have placed last start
must be weighted to carry 52.5kg or less
SP 5.0 or more
Must have a Predicted Posn Rank 1-3 per Bet Selector

NSW TAB divs June 2001 - present

Races 188
Races won 31
SR/Race 16.5%
Bets($1 unit) 214
Profit 175 units
POT 81.8%

The place results show 14.3% POT for good measure.