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goty0405 , I would like a copy of that spreadsheet if that ok send it to my e-mail shaun2166 at msn dot com
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A lot of those double figure prices are in the top 4, i wonder how you would go just backing those abover $10
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I did an analysis a couple of years ago on the ratings.
I'm not entirely sure exactly how they are calculated, but the Techform ratings outperformed the Unitab ratings by a fair margin. I also found that they must have a generic scale, so it's just their top rated horse which is allocated 100. I.E. a 100 rater in one race is not the same as a 100 rater in another race, there can be a massive difference in the actual points the horses get, yet they still get 100 for being top. If they did it like the racing post ratings it would be much better. |
goty0405 , If not too much trouble would you send me a copy of of the spreadsheet also.
petfood at virginbroadband dotcomdotau Many thanks |
Hi goty0405
Geez... a few putting thier hand out here, sorry stixpropun at aanet dot com dot au is my email Many thanks, muchly appreciated! |
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& a lot of them aint, bound to be greater value outside the radio tips, but profitability is the ? been backing all 100 raters >=$10 for a while for, mainly pub bets, with some success, but doubt theres anything to get to excited about with such a freely available piece of info. |
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Just 100 Raters Avg Div = $3.74 TAB Prices = -$45 145 100 Rater + Tob 4 Tab Tips Avg Div = $3.17 TAB Prices = -$33 159 100 Rater + Tob 3 Tab Tips Avg Div = $3.07 TAB Prices = -$30 305 100 Rater + Tob 2 Tab Tips Avg Div = $2.87 TAB Prices = -$22 078 100 Rater + Tob 1 Tab Tips Avg Div = $2.58 TAB Prices = -$13 713 So yeah they don't make money just like that (well not with TAB prices). |
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Selections: 3361 1st: 1289 (38.35%) 2nd: 617 (18.36%) 3rd: 435 (12.94%) Not Placed: 1020 (30.35%) Avg Div of Winners: $2.19 If Back $10 on each on TAB prices: $-5397 Much closer...If you factor in getting better prices (say 10% better) than it only runs at -$2575. Heres where I thought it was close but maybe needed 1 more filter. |
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Selections: 429 1st: 82 (19.11%) 2nd: 66 (15.38%) 3rd: 57 (13.29%) Not Placed: 224 (52.21%) Avg Div of Winners: $4.09 If Back $10 each: -$933 May sound small but in fact its got a ROI (return on investment) of -20%. Not good. |
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