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-   -   System for those who like to bet them short... (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20922)

bernie 1st February 2011 02:04 PM

Thanks TWOBETS.

No wonder the DS results look fantastic after the event.

Cheers

darkydog2002 1st February 2011 02:37 PM

To be honest I,ve never really looked at that aspect.
I am doing the form now (2.35 PM) so I,ll take note .
Thanks.
darky

darkydog2002 1st February 2011 03:20 PM

I will check the asessed prices at the end of the meetings.
Frankly I,m curious.

Warnambool
Race 4 H 4 (DS asessed $1.30)

Canberra
Race 4 H 5 (DS Asessed $1.45)

Port Mcquarie
Race 7 H 6 (DS asessed $1.80)

darkydog2002 1st February 2011 06:13 PM

Well no change in the asessed prices as given on the Don Scott Ratings.

Another winning day as usual.

Cheers
darky

wesmip1 1st February 2011 06:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1annandale1
Yes i have sometimes backed D Scott horses rated less than even money and paying overs . Thank you Wespmi for your analysis, not only of this system but the many other assessments you make on this site..Can you give any insight as to the return difference between maiden races and others rated less than even money and less than 1.5. Cheers

At $1.50 don scott rating or less and betfair price of $2 or more before commission and a MAIDEN : 109 selections for a return $102 - $107

At $1.50 don scott rating or less and betfair price of $2 or more before commission and not a MAIDEN : 93 selections for a return $146 - $157

Amazingly good angle on the odds on selections of don scott.

wesmip1 1st February 2011 06:32 PM

My assesed prices are before the scratchings.


At $2.00 don scott rating or less and betfair price of $2 or more before commission and a MAIDEN : 249 selections for a return $198 - $212

At $2.00 don scott rating or less and betfair price of $2 or more before commission and not a MAIDEN : 274 selections for a return $331 - $349

A higher price range confirms the angle has plausibility.

1annandale1 1st February 2011 09:37 PM

Thank you Wesmip1

I am not surprised by the profit being higher for non maidens, or the amount of profit.

Confirms my theory that in a lot of races the market prices are wrong.

I have been laying succesfully on Betfair for the last 18 months.

Without giving the System away it is almost taking the opposite approach to this!
The Backers could do well to follow the information gleaned here.
The key though to both betting and laying is discipline and flexibility.

darkydog2002 2nd February 2011 10:16 AM

W.Farm
Race 4 H 3

E.Farm
Race 1 H 12

Strathalbyn
Race 2 H 3

Cheers
darky

darkydog2002 3rd February 2011 03:56 PM

Blimey,stone the crows ,put the wobbly boot on.
Our 1st losing day $50.
Panic Stations people.Time to put in some stupid rules.
2nd LS no more than 49 days ago /3rd LS no more than 89 days ago.Ho Ho.
Just joking.
Leave it as it is.

Cheers
darky

axledog 4th February 2011 10:35 PM

Maybe?
 
Gday again DD , Been AWOL recently , sorry , still have to work for a living. First thread i came back to was this because i have been doing something similar over the past 8 weeks but with a twist. Latest figures are encouraging but might get together with you and Wesnip on a pm and discuss further. Interesting ideas using DS but everyone has their own system , maybe we can crack something good , three heads are better then one. The end of the rainbow could be closer than we think?


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