That's the challenge really, if one knew how the market would go in advance, one would be home and hosed.

and the only way you can know that for sure is to identify over priced horses and you do that by being the most accurate in assessing their true chance because you know in due course hey will be most probably be recognised by the broader market and their price will drop and fall into line accordingly.

As they say you cant eat value but in the long term that's what its about.
The holy grail.

Hi CP/ Aussielongboat,

The problem with TF is that you have to put the bet on before the odds are put up at the track. Hence you do not know if the horse will be supported, stay the same of drift.

A very interesting stat but impractical to achieve in practice.