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-   -   Highest Strike Rate Betting System I Know... (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31091)

michaelg 13th April 2016 11:04 AM

Today's Telegraph selections are:

Warwick Farm
1/1

Pinjarra
1/6

Ballarat
3/1

michaelg 14th April 2016 11:39 AM

Yesterday's two selections were beaten (one placed). Today's Telegraph selections:

Bunbury
7/5

Wangaratta
4/7

michaelg 15th April 2016 12:30 PM

Yesterday's selections lost but it placed. Today's selections:

Grafton
5/4

Ipswich
6/6

Werribee
2/3

I'll look at the dogs with the method:

The Gardens
8/6

Geelong
5/4

Bulli
2/5


If you are going to continue with greyhound selections, please post these in the correct forum. Moderator.

michaelg 15th April 2016 05:28 PM

Today's results:

Ipswich
6/6 - scratched

Werribee
2/3 - second $1.80

Grafton
5/4
Won - $2.70 & $1.40.

michaelg 16th April 2016 10:29 AM

Today's Telegraph selections:

Randwick
1/1

Caulfield
3/8

Kembla
3/1

Queanbeyan
3/1

Narromine
3/3

Toowoomba
7/3


Yesterday's greyhound results:

The Gardens
Won - $1.80 & $1.20

Geelong
Second $1.00

Bulli
Won - $2.70 & $2.00

michaelg 16th April 2016 11:43 AM

Correction - the Randwick selection is 3/1 not 1/1.

Neil 16th April 2016 12:58 PM

Today's bets based on this morning's Herald Sun are:

Caulfield
3/8 French Emotion $2.20

Randwick
3/1 Old North $2.00

Vortech 16th April 2016 01:33 PM

2 Lays 2 Wins!

Winner Winner chicken

aferw 16th April 2016 02:45 PM

Todays using Wa site.

caulfield 1 5 sly romance 2f
toowoo 1 2 ruling force 2.10f
morphet 2 1 high church 2.25f
queanbyn 1 1 kalia 2.1f
k.grange 1 1 red extension 1.65f
g.coast 8 6 unassuming 2.8f
narromine 6 3 neza thief 2f

Sr 3 1 was 2nd fav, Yankie Rose was fav which later cr.

aferw 17th April 2016 03:54 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
Todays using Wa site.

caulfield 1 5 sly romance 2f 1st 3.30
toowoo 1 2 ruling force 2.10f 1st 3.70
morphet 2 1 high church 2.25f 1st 2.70
queanbyn 1 1 kalia 2.1f 2nd 2.10
k.grange 1 1 red extension 1.65f 2nd 2.20
g.coast 8 6 unassuming 2.8f scr
narromine 6 3 neza thief 2f 1st 1.30-1.10

Sr 3 1 was 2nd fav, Yankie Rose was fav which later scr.


After nice day yesterday and past week, I looked back to 1st april.
I also noticed that if multi selections in the one venue take the 1st race with the lowest price. Excluded perth.
If selection scr, then that was it.

Anyway attached if anyone wants to look. Will stick to saturday metro
(tattsbet prices)

Neil 17th April 2016 03:54 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
Todays using Wa site.

caulfield 1 5 sly romance 2f
toowoo 1 2 ruling force 2.10f
morphet 2 1 high church 2.25f
queanbyn 1 1 kalia 2.1f
k.grange 1 1 red extension 1.65f
g.coast 8 6 unassuming 2.8f
narromine 6 3 neza thief 2f

Sr 3 1 was 2nd fav, Yankie Rose was fav which later cr.


Sly Romance 1st. $3.50
High Church 1st. $2.90

Ruling Force 1st. $3.70
Kalia 2nd. $4.00
Red Extension 1st. $2.20
Unassuming scratched
Heza Thief 1st.$1.60


Excellent results.

However, as the system rules state, "This simple betting system gives you one bet in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane each Saturday." There's a very good reason for this. Over the years the results elsewhere have been inferior.

aferw 17th April 2016 04:12 PM

I do remember this from years back and just found it. But is daily.
http://www.ozmium.com.au/forums/showthread.php?t=23643

But sticking to saturday metro is so far the better option.
From 19th'3 .. 13 races so far.
Adelaide is 3 from 3 at present

Neil 17th April 2016 06:08 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
I do remember this from years back and just found it. But is daily.
http://www.ozmium.com.au/forums/showthread.php?t=23643

But sticking to saturday metro is so far the better option.
From 19th'3 .. 13 races so far.
Adelaide is 3 from 3 at present


That method may be daily. There are systems and there are systems.

But not the method I worked out and used for some of my wagering over 30 years ago after noticing for an extended period of time the high strike rate of short priced prepost favourites in Saturday morning's newspaper.

It's Saturday only!

There are plenty of reasons why for example Monday and Tuesday racing will produce inferior results.

1. There are often many more unknowns in the race, which means that short priced prepost favourite could be well under the odds.

2. We are often dealing with a field full of inconsistent animals.

3. Your short priced favourite is more likely to finish an unlucky 2nd. or 3rd. thanks to bad luck because of an inferior ride by by a bush standard jockey instead of a good city standard jockey.

Neil 22nd April 2016 12:30 PM

Using odds from the Winning Post.

Selections for Saturday, 23rd. April.

Caulfield
3/5 Raw Impulse

Rosehill
1/3 Reincarnate

aferw 22nd April 2016 09:06 PM

Using Wa site, including adelaide

caulfield 5 1 she's miss devine
rosehill 1 3 reincarnate
morphet 1 4 killarney kid

michaelg 23rd April 2016 10:34 AM

Today's Telegraph selections:

Rusehill
1/3

Caulfield
3/5

Sunshine Coast
6/1

Neil 25th April 2016 04:06 PM

Monday's results at Flemington and Randwick, using odds from the Herald Sun.

Flemington
Miss Vista 1st. $2.35, TF $2.40

Randwick
Peacock 1st. $1.90, $2.15 TF.
Lady Le Fay 1st. $2.00, TF $2.20
Both were quoted at odds of $2.70 in the paper.

aferw 25th April 2016 09:53 PM

Ok getting confused with all these new systems. Im just sticking to 2 of them. Just look now (been away lg w'end).
Todays I had/would of had
flemingotn 8 7 supido @ 1.8
randwick 1 1 via napoli @ 2.5

Neil 25th April 2016 10:51 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
Ok getting confused with all these new systems. Im just sticking to 2 of them. Just look now (been away lg w'end).
Todays I had/would of had
flemingotn 8 7 supido @ 1.8
randwick 1 1 via napoli @ 2.5


In this morning's Melbourne Herald Sun, which has proven itself over many years to have good prepost markets, Supido was $2.10, but Miss Vista was $1.95.

However, Supido was a nice $2.70 winner.

Via Napoli was $3.20 in this morning's Melbourne Herald Sun while Peacock and Lady Le Fay were both quoted at odds of $2.70.

Via Napoli was also a good $2.70 winner with TF at $3.10.

Neil 30th April 2016 08:14 AM

Using odds from Saturday morning's Herald Sun.

Selections for Saturday, 30th. April.

Caulfield
4/4 She's Miss Devine

Doomben:
6/1 Fell Swoop

aferw 30th April 2016 09:35 AM

Using wa site
30th
caulfield 1 1 lahqa
doomben 6 1 fell swoop
morphet 4 7 smart manoeuvre

Neil 1st May 2016 09:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
Using odds from Saturday morning's Herald Sun.

Selections for Saturday, 30th. April.

Caulfield
4/4 She's Miss Devine

Doomben:
6/1 Fell Swoop


She's Miss Devine unpl.
Fell Swoop 1st. $1.55

Neil 6th May 2016 10:36 AM

Selections for Saturday, 7th. May using Winning Post markets.

Flemington
5/7 Supido

Rosehill
6/3 Start Wondering

aferw 7th May 2016 08:42 AM

Fridays Courier Mail has same as winning post

Wa site
fleming 1 1 merriest

Neil 8th May 2016 01:31 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
Selections for Saturday, 7th. May using Winning Post markets.

Flemington
5/7 Supido

Rosehill
6/3 Start Wondering


Selections for Saturday, 7th. May using Saturday morning Herald Sun markets.

Flemington
5/7 Supido 1st. $1.55, TF $1.80

Rosehill
6/3 Start Wondering unpl. $2.50

Morphettville - Adelaide has been doing much better than 30 years ago.
1/3 Killarney Kid 1st. $1.70

Neil 14th May 2016 12:44 AM

Selections for Saturday, 14th. May. Winning Post odds used.

Caulfield
1/5 Raw Impulse

Doomben
2/9 Inz'n'out

aferw 14th May 2016 09:50 AM

14th
WA site

mr 1 5 raw impulse
ar 4 1 rageese


Fridays Courier Mail also has R2 2 another whiskey

Neil 14th May 2016 01:03 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
Selections for Saturday, 14th. May. Winning Post odds used.

Caulfield
1/5 Raw Impulse

Doomben
2/9 Inz'n'out


Using Saturday morning's Herald Sun odds.

Caulfield
1/5 Raw Impulse

Doomben
2/2 Another Whiskey

aferw 14th May 2016 03:12 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
14th
WA site

mr 1 5 raw impulse 1st 1.10
ar 4 1 rageese scr


Fridays Courier Mail also has R2 2 another whiskey 2nd

Quite happy to keep following this easy (for me) system from Neil.
Been following since 19th march, up to twelve wins from twenty bets, returning a profit of six dollars and ten cents (tatts bets results)

aferw 21st May 2016 02:03 PM

Bit late, (no internet) but can easy be looked up on the Wa site.
All raced and a nice result today
21st
fleming 2 12 sebring dream 1st $2.80 $1.40
rosehill 2 6 hipparchus x
morphet 1 4 I am a star 1st $2.90 $1.40

Neil 27th May 2016 05:01 PM

Selections for Saturday, 28th. May. Winning Post odds used.

Sandown
1/3 Gingerboy

Randwick
7/8 Raw impulse

Doomben
3/8 Ghisoni

aferw 28th May 2016 08:32 AM

28th, my selections using Wa site

sandown 1 3 gingerboy
doomben 3 8 ghisoni
morphet 5 5 model dragon

aferw 3rd June 2016 02:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
28th, my selections using Wa site

sandown 1 3 gingerboy 2nd
doomben 3 8 ghisoni 1st 1.90 - 1.30
morphet 5 5 model dragon scr

4th'6
sandown 4 1 turnitaround
rosehill 4 4 inz'n'out
e.farm 1 1 archives
morphet 1 1 rich river

aferw 4th June 2016 02:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
4th'6
sandown 4 1 turnitaround 1st 3.10-1.50
rosehill 4 4 inz'n'out 2nd 1.50
e.farm 1 1 archives abnd
morphet 1 1 rich river


Looking at yesterdays c'mail. it had 2 different for today.
sr 4 5 marenostro- 1st 2.50 and ar 2 4 love days - x . Hence the need to stick to the one source.
Still managed a profit today just the same ....

aferw 10th June 2016 09:11 PM

ok folks, here we are again !!
11th
fleming 2 12 avenue whisper
e.farm 3 3 chisoni
morphet 3 1 angelology

aferw 17th June 2016 09:24 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
ok folks, here we are again !!
11th
fleming 2 12 avenue whisper 2nd 3.20
e.farm 3 3 chisoni
morphet 3 1 angelology

18th
m.valley 3 7 raw impulse
rosehill 2 5 sebrina

aferw 24th June 2016 09:16 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
18th
m.valley 3 7 raw impulse.scr
rosehill 2 5 sebrina 2nd 1.20


Using the wa site still in front 5.80+, or 19% pot
Courier mail had 2 from 2.
Dont have it tonight, But so far c'mail, qld is the only state running at a loss. small stats anyways
Using Wa site, nsw is running a loss.
If running this by state/state, be different again

24th
fleming 7 5 award of merit
e.farm 8 1 azkadellia
morphet 1 3 honey steel's gold

darkydog2002 28th June 2016 06:23 PM

Aferw,
Have been using it DAILY since it was posted.
Staking to win 4% of a $10,000 bank.
Currently shows a loss of $597 and in a losing run.

I am not particularly worried as a losing run is always followed by a winning run and vice versa.

How long any run will last is anyones guess hence staking correctly but I believe the method is sound.

The higher priced Fav though (On a DAILY basis ) was hopeless and my feeling on that one is that its best used for LAY betting.

Cheers
darky

aferw 28th June 2016 09:18 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aferw
Using the wa site still in front 5.80+, or 19% pot
Courier mail had 2 from 2.
Dont have it tonight, But so far c'mail, qld is the only state running at a loss. small stats anyways
Using Wa site, nsw is running a loss.
If running this by state/state, be different again

24th
fleming 7 5 award of merit x
e.farm 8 1 azkadellia 2nd 1.80
morphet 1 3 honey steel's gold 3rd (hurdle)



Hi Darky dog

From 34 races, the last 8 have lost the win side of things. Still in front slightly
(Have no idea if the c'mail had the winners.)

But if I put these into "states" then yes different thing altogether, one state is now behind - Nsw.
C'mail has qld behind.
But adding one filter to each state separately, different results again.

Agree doing this daily is a loss, I did this some years ago, and more recently this year.

Most of my betting is midweek now, and hardly if at all saturdays.

Cheers

darkydog2002 29th June 2016 09:43 AM

Thanks for the reply Aferw.
I hesitate to put any filters in myself as obviously they have been put through the mill hence the price.

But if I did it would be based around Form/ beaten lengths /weight (55kg + represent 36.5 % of horses but win 50.6 % of races )A massive advantage.

But like I say I will take the method as written.

Cheers.


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