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Jake, on target with your tips including Castletown Keys $8 (wide throughout!), Rocky Range $8 and a couple others.
Party, I think you're a place punter as well so with your three tips running a place a profit was made, well done. One to follow from the days racing is Pete the Profiler, unlucky in the last finishing strongly between runners. |
Yes not too bad today, I am predominently a place bettor so in the money all the way, can't complain, BUT with some luck could have been another "Bumper"
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a place bettor..party!
fields 5-7 (ntd) ..do you generally avoid or play? |
Jake, a controversial one I know but personally I have found over an extended period its better to play, i.e. 2 out of 5 is a ******** of a lot easier than 3 out of say 14 *isn't it?, mmmmm!) anyway I find the divies are generally higher, but thats just my opinion.
Today 2 already in the bag + Pure Rust in the last |
Forum "egg" again, and deafeated by the PPM selection to boot! shucks
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last at ascot..playing my multiples around..russell road..dane smile..& silk force..
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yeah party..i play regardless too..& as you've mentioned..divies can be surprisingly good..scenerio..ntd.. |
Jake, I ended up just in front after the last, but I had Almighty Runner as a racing certainty EXCEPT for the draw, which is why I didn't post it and in fact only backed for the place. BUT my observation is (AGAIN) that Darren MCauley didn't rate it in his first 4, unbelievable; and once again it wins, just watch out for this , it sure seems that when it's a goer it's nowhere in his top 4 (nods as good as a wink ey?)
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Promises to be a good card of racing at Ascot.
R2 - The Market Mover is Keshaar. IAS have it 3.8 -> 2.9, meets Trustee Brown 3.5kg better than last time(both were a tad unlucky to not finish closer). R4 - One of the best bets anywhere is Inarticulate. It really should go crunch. $2 fixed is short enough, add 6/9 for value in multiples. R5 - Another shortie in Scenic Shot. Bar 2 is perfect, distance and race conditions perfect, no excuses this time. Worth watching a few others in respect to upcoming Perth Cup. R7 - Crawford Stakes is very interesting. Leader Vain Raider. Topweight Vizard is the big query. No Trial so no idea where it's at, but was a budding superstar sprinter over a year ago. Ma Ma Machine has never won at Ascot, but has a good chance to break the duck. Should get into a good trailing position. Good luck! |
schonegg, I agree, 3x equal bets on Inarticulate, Vain Raider, and Coiled spring SHOULD show a profit.
But I aslo have Casandras Shadow (owes me) and Given Vision as EW bets, gotta admit I keep going back to Given Vision so I'll stick my neck out and say best bet of the day, at odds! |
hot tamale
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in the opener today..done a treat since her debut..wide barrier a worry..the fav..flying heritage..will most likely lead from the good draw..4..5..7..9..& 10..all have good trial form.. |
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..would have been stiff not to get the race!..off to a good start..schonegg |
easy with retropspect I know but when you look "again" race 5, Lords Ransom top trainer + The Fish, and 2&1/2 lengths behind Snipers Bullet 2 starts back, I must start to study the form more!
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Lords Ransom should win the cup easily based on that run.
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Will be deserved favorite, good powerful finish today. Party, yes, Durrant is a top trainer and a big-race trainer who has made his mark, especially during the carnival.(Jim Taylor been a little quiet). But that Scenic Shot was not the Melbourne/Brisbane version. It's a classier horse than the winner. Easy to say now but it surely is a tired horse and needs a big open paddock tomorrow. Brown had to ride it hard out of the barrier to keep its place, then got shuffled back. No zip in its finish. One to follow is another Durrant runner :) Golden Heart, from the last race. Was first up and had to work hard 3/4 wide, and expect it to hit back very soon. |
I thought Lords Ransom, Right Fong, Gondorff, Largo Lad, Impressive Jeuney, and Almohad are the only chances for the cup.
Let's post a quaddie on NYE so we all can get on it for Perth Cup day. |
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Ok, hope we snag a monster divi:) |
well, OK, but we;d better not forget the ppm selection OR the 3rd letter "R", har har !
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Scenic Shot has gone for a spell. Lords Ransom who won the Cox Stakes in convincing fashion has incurred a 1kg penalty (Perth Cup) for the win. |
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What chance Em Gee Brown?? I ask cos Darren MCauley doesn't rate it in the first 4, any thoughts?
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has to have an ew chance..party..racing in best form of career..
outside barrier is the worry for mine..i think will need a reasonable run in transit..to run-out a strong 1100.. ..not betting in the race myself..good luck with yours.. |
Jake, yes I figured it at least had a chance, anyway luckily I didn't back it either, not that that did me much good, I'm having a shocker!
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Lets just say THANKYOU Darren Mcaulay last race life saver!!
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What happened?
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I concentrate on Darrens top 2, (which are actually the Radiotab selections on Unitab as well) 25% winners overall. But in this case Star Risca was a life saver! $12.30c (2nd choice)
But b4 anyone jumps on the bandwagon I can tell you that he's had a lean time just recently! |
Perth Cup acceptors
No. Horse Trainer Rider Weight
1 Newport Paul Perry Brad Rawiller 57 2 Largo Lad David Hayes Steven Parnham 56.5 3 Lords Ransom Adam Durrant Alan Kennedy 55.5 4 Star Encounter Adam Durrant Brad Parnham 54.5 5 Gondorff(Nz) Mark B. Reed Daniel Staeck 52.5 6 Right Fong David Balfour Mark Pegus 52.5 7 Friar's Touch Peter Giadresco Shaun Meeres 52 8 Geyser Peak Frank Maynard Jason Brown 52 9 Great Destiny Adam Durrant Shaun Mc Gruddy 52 10 Hadabeclorka Brent Larsson Clint Harvey 52 11 Lambton Castle Lindsey Smith Jarrad Noske 52 12 Le Bon Jeune Shane Edwards Paul King 52 13 Ma Chienne Adam Durrant Peter Hall 52 14 Markus Maximus(Nz) Peter Moody Luke Nolen 52 15 New Spice Elva Van Merwyk Peter Knuckey 52 16 Sentenza Ivan Haggerty Shaun O'donnell 52 17 E1 Almohad Lou Luciani Jason Whiting 52 18 E2 Truckin Tobie Dave Casey 52 19 E3 Esroh Mark B. Reed 52 20 E4 Neige Kristy Casey Paul King 52 Barrier draw later this morning. |
I like 2,3,5,6,8,9,15
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Perth Cup with barrier draw.
No. Horse Trainer Rider Barrier Weight 1 Newport Paul Perry Brad Rawiller 1 57 2 Largo Lad David Hayes Steven Parnham 19 56.5 3 Lords Ransom Adam Durrant Alan Kennedy 2 55.5 4 Star Encounter Adam Durrant Brad Parnham 3 54.5 5 Gondorff(Nz) Mark B. Reed Daniel Staeck 6 52.5 6 Right Fong David Balfour Mark Pegus 17 52.5 7 Friar's Touch Peter Giadresco Shaun Meeres 12 52 8 Geyser Peak Frank Maynard Jason Brown 18 52 9 Great Destiny Adam Durrant Shaun Mc Gruddy 15 52 10 Hadabeclorka Brent Larsson Clint Harvey 20 52 11 Lambton Castle Lindsey Smith Jarrad Noske 10 52 12 Le Bon Jeune Shane Edwards Paul King 14 52 13 Ma Chienne Adam Durrant Peter Hall 13 52 14 Markus Maximus(Nz) Peter Moody Luke Nolen 5 52 15 New Spice Elva Van Merwyk Peter Knuckey 4 52 16 Sentenza Ivan Haggerty Shaun O'donnell 16 52 17 EMG Almohad Lou Luciani Jason Whiting 8 52 18 EMG Truckin Tobie Dave Casey 7 52 19 EMG Esroh Mark B. Reed 9 52 20 EMG Neige Kristy Casey Patrick Carbery 11 52 |
Current Perth Cup market.
Lords Ransom 3.80 1.70 Gondorff 6.50 2.35 Right Fong 7.00 2.50 Ma Chienne 7.50 2.60 Largo Lad 10.00 3.20 Newport 12.00 3.70 Great Destiny 14.00 4.20 Markus Maximus 16.00 4.70 Almohad (1E) 17.00 5.00 New Spice 18.00 5.00 Star Encounter 19.00 5.50 Geyser Peak 21.00 6.00 Le Bon Jeune 26.00 7.00 Sentenza 51.00 13.00 Hadabeclorka 61.00 16.00 Truckin Tobie (2E) 61.00 16.00 Lambton Castle 71.00 18.00 Friar'S Touch 81.00 21.00 Esroh (3E) 101.00 26.00 Neige (4E) 151.00 41.00 |
Will be watching with interest, the debut of Peggie's Choice, opener at Bunbury today. This 3YO filly is a full sister to Miss Andretti & a half sister to Danny Beau.
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Peggie's Choice
For those that didn't see the race, ran 3rd, easily beaten, sat 3rd most of the way. Will obviously take benefit from the run.
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What will be your Perth Cup Quaddie?
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Gee, it's hard to go past Lords Ransom isn't it? but NewSpice at it's best?? (not to mention Gondorf.) anyway there's my tri! + the PPM sel. boxed.
But remember if backing more than 1 horse for the win Sportsbet have a money back deal if your nag runs 2nd,...... by the way I have no business connections with Sportsbet. In fact there is a new player who offers Best Tote or SP for the win AND also Best Tote/SP for the place, in other words best Tote place divi OR 1/4 SP whichever is greatest, if you're a serious place bettor you have to take it. eg. totes = $1.50c, $1.40c & $1.30c, nag runs a place @ SP $4 so the place divi is $1.75c Not sure if I can post the name of the new outfit? ...... Moderator? |
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Bang on track, schonegg. Short priced fav today & did it easily. |
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Top training effort! Lords Ransom holding off his stablemate, Ma Chienne. |
A good result today, backed GH + LR, + 2 others , missed the tri; but I'm not complaining overall.
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..huge chance today..party.. |
Got it with a big one Jake! Top Fluc
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