OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

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OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)

- Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)

- - 100 Raters (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18672)

partypooper

12th March 2009 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by goty0405

Ah now you're getting to where I was at with this idea...I have tried 100 Raters + Top Tab Tip + Late Mail tip with the following results:

Selections: 3361
1st: 1289 (38.35%)
2nd: 617 (18.36%)
3rd: 435 (12.94%)
Not Placed: 1020 (30.35%)
Avg Div of Winners: $2.19
If Back $10 on each on TAB prices: $-5397

Much closer...If you factor in getting better prices (say 10% better) than it only runs at -$2575. Heres where I thought it was close but maybe needed 1 more filter.

OK now apply METRO only and see where were at?

goty0405

12th March 2009 08:45 PM

Hmm brain snap on my part there. Those stats above are wrong. Try again...

100 Raters Not in Top 4 Tips
Selections: 7978
1st: 1036 (12.99%)
2nd: 932 (11.68%)
3rd: 873 (10.94%)
Not Placed: 5137 (64.39%)
Avg Div: $2.47
$10 on each: -$8011

goty0405

12th March 2009 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by partypooper

OK now apply METRO only and see where were at?

Hmmm I will have to fiddle to get that data out. Shouldn't take too much but I dont know the absolute lits of which tracks are metro and which aren't. If you can give me a list or an easy way of finding out it would help :D

Bhagwan

12th March 2009 08:53 PM

Hi Goty,
Try this...
Delete all that ran 2nd or 3rd last start to inject value.

These tend to be over bet.

I feel this should reduce the LOT.

Cheers.

lomaca

12th March 2009 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by goty0405

No pressure, but if you'd care to send us the spreadsheet we would be able to connect it to our database and offer more ways to analyse.
Win-Win eh?
Just a thought!

PS
just received it haven't looked at it yet!
thanks
Will be working on it first thing tomorrow!

lomaca

13th March 2009 09:58 AM

Ideas for filters re. 100 raters

Hi goty0405!
OK I converted the XL sheet to database table ready to analyse, give us some ideas what filters you want to look at? (email or public up to you)

There are over 6000 duplicate records, that is, where there are 2 horses with a rating of 100 in the same race!
I did not know it was possible?

stugots

13th March 2009 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by goty0405

cheers, methinks a lay method in the making:)

sportzfan

13th March 2009 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by goty0405

Those stats were all races. I will need to play around to get stats on each track so that can go on my to-do list :D

okay...thanks

goty0405

13th March 2009 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lomaca

Haha I got those from my own database so I don't need another one...I even wrote a front-end analysis tool for mine to make it easier to test ideas. I think I just wanted the list of metro and non-metro tracks.

And yes there are plenty of races where there are several 100 raters. I'd like to know how that rating system worked...

goty0405

13th March 2009 05:58 PM

Fiddling around again I have found 2 different possible additions that could turn a slight profit! I will do more research before getting too excited

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