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-   -   Test a Place System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=24206)

michaelg 3rd June 2012 05:47 PM

From the nine selections there were seven placegetters for a return of $9.40. The two unplaced selections ran fourth.

michaelg 4th June 2012 11:25 AM

One selection today:

Kyneton
2/5

Toil 6th June 2012 02:04 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
From the nine selections there were seven placegetters for a return of $9.40. The two unplaced selections ran fourth.


Well done!

Bad luck with Mondays 1 selection.

michaelg 6th June 2012 06:56 AM

Toil, I've again lost interest in betting. There was one Place selection yesterday (Cessnock 1/5) which placed paying $1.50. I did not bet it because I once more only lay horses.

I no longer Lay the Field because even though the method is quite reliable the drawback is that the profit is small.

I've been laying with success two methods for (1) - fields of under 11 starters and (2) - fields of 11 and more starters. So I've been laying in almost every race.

Today I'll start a new thread and list the selections.

Last night I experimented with the lay method of 11-plus starters in the U.K. for a liability of $33 (more convenient to type $33 than $30) and the profit was $60 which more or less mirrors the profit here in Oz.

Toil 6th June 2012 11:33 PM

Any hints to the rules of this place system?

Cheers.

michaelg 7th June 2012 08:21 AM

Toil, I'll list the rules here because the method is at the moment only treading water, and someone who is interested in Place betting might improve it with a new rule(s), filter, etc.

1) Only one horse between 96 to 100 Unitab points after scratchings - it could not be simpler.

Yesterday there were 11 selections for 5 placegetters for a return of $10.30.

Here's something I've on and off been looking at not just for this method but other betting methods, but as usual have lost interest - if a selection did not finish in the top 4 at its last run I've been considering omitting it from the system. Yesterday there were only 2 selections in this category - not only did they both Place for a return of $5.40 but they won their respective races for a return of $16.80.

Obviously there's little action, but for a good (hopefully) reason Unitab gives them high points even though to many of us their last start may not have been impressive.

michaelg 7th June 2012 08:45 AM

If anyone's interested today's selections are:

Rocky
4/9 (not in top four at last start)
7/4

Geelong
3/4

Pinjarra
5/12 (not in top four at last start)

Toil 7th June 2012 02:53 PM

Thanx for sharing michael.

There's definitely some potential there.

cheers.

Bhagwan 8th June 2012 04:21 AM

Thanks Michael for sharing those findings.

Heres something I have noticed.

Target 1-2 horses between 100-96pts

Must of run, 1-4th last start.

Delete race if 3 horses between 100-96pts.


If still a draw , take the shorter price in the live market of the 2 horses.
Maybe the Pre-post market could also be used for this process.

Only bet them if we can get approx 2.80+ for the win.


This usually produces a hand full of bets most days.


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