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Only one selection from Ascot. It is for the under 200 points.
4/7 |
You can be lucky sometimes. Missed laying the first at Grafton. But then missed the first at Hobart which would have been a winner!!!
Was trying to compare with your picks for the other meetings. Almost agreed; but I have: Gold Coast 1/9 (not 1/11), and in Hobart 5/9 not 5/8. And I think Rosehill 8/8 qualifies? And Gold Coast 7/11 is scratched. |
Thanks, Merriguy.
My errors, you're right with your amendments - I typed the wrong numbers, and I also missed looking at Rosehill R8. I've already layed G.C. 7/11 but will also lay no.9 and hope for the best. |
G'Day Guys,
Going well so far today. I hope it keeps up. I was just looking at the amendments and shouldn't GC Race 7 be no 1 (not 9) with no 11 scratched? Or, am I looking at the wrong figures? |
Just my lazy typing (if only you knew what an effort it is for yours truly!). Its race 1 Nos 9 and 11 that we are speaking of. Neither of them won so no harm done --- actually good for Michael.
May be worth checking out Esperance. Left it and Toowoomba alone this morning. Race 1 just qualified --- and lost. Paid $31.24 (less BF commission) for $30.00 lay. |
Hi, The Ocho.
I made another mistake. I'd like to blame it on my back which is unfortunately still making me squirm in pain, but it mercifully isn't as bad as it was. In my previous posting I said the correction was R7, but it was R1. So the selection was R1 no. 9, which fortunately was beaten for a very small profit of $0.39. In spite of the early accident for the 200 Points method, it has finished in profit of $37.24. There have not yet been any accidents for the under 200 points method. Edit - just saw Merriguy's response answering the query. |
So you guys laying GC R7/1?
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No the next GC pick of the system (if you want to call it that) is R8 No9 --- be careful though it is the fav. or one of them it seems.
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Not the best of days. There were 2 accidents from the 11 selections for a profit of $1.60.
200 Pointer There was 1 accident from 5 selections for a profit of $37.24. An overall profit of $38.64. |
Here are today's selections - hopefully they are correct.
Under 200 points. Sapphire Coast 2/8 4/5 5/7 8/7 Bathurst 6/5 Colac 1/8 7/10 Penola 3/5 5/5 Sun Coast 6/14 200-plus points. Colac 3/8 Sun Coast 7/13 Albany to follow. |
These are the selections for Albany - all under 200 points.
2/9 3/10 6/10 |
Just a couple I'd "challenge" you on:
Colac 8/9 --- think it also qualifies; and Sapphire 8/7 doesn't qualify. Good Luck! |
Hi, Merriguy.
You're right. I miscalculated with the number of runners in Colac R8. And I don't know how I identified Sapphire 8/7 as the selection because it has only the fourth highest points. Therefore, Colac R8 no.9 is a selection for the under 200 points method. Sapphire R8 is a no-bet race. Thanks, Merriguy. |
Would not be worried. I know my brain is "spinning" sometimes after doing what is, on the surface, an easy task.
First pick down. Actually I didn't lay it. I think it is good to leave out of contention any that is picked by Radio Tab, Guest tipster, and Late Mail --- as was Chosira. |
A disaster today.
Under 200 points method. There were 5 accidents from 14 selections for a loss of $118.56, it's still in front by $175.61. However I think I will end it because the average profit per overall selection is slightly over $2. This means that it has been taking about 15 smiles to make up for an accident. However, with the 200 points-plus system the average profit per overall selection is about $3.50. Over the four days of betting there is a profit of $157.51. I have been using another method that lays fancied horses. I have been looking at it for some time now but never recorded the results because some days there have been no selections. However I started laying them yesterday, and after two days there have been 21 smiles from 21 selections for a profit of $122.60. So it looks good...touch wood. And it might have more logic than the neural system which has little, if any. If there's any selections tomorrow I'll list them. Hopefully this will compensate for the reduced action. |
Michaelg,
Well done on your systems but how do you find time to follow and investigate all these? You always seem to have another "up your sleeve"! |
Its something I thought about some time ago, but now that we can lay S.P. early in the morning I'm remembering some methods I had thought of previously. And for the past two weeks I've had time on my hands because of my back.
This one I've been laying for the past two days has impressed one of my punting friends who does not want me to release it. However, if it proves profitable I might do so, not publicly but privately. |
200 Points Method
Two selections today: Wangaratta 3/6 Muswellbrook 3/6 New Lay Method Scone 5/3 Wangaratta 7/1 Murwillumbah 5/4 |
Quote:
"Aarat", "Armidale", "Benalla", "Bendigo", "Cairns", "Camperdown", "Canberra", "Canterbury", "Caulfield", "Colac", "Coleraine", "Coonabarabran", "Coonamble", "Cootamundra", "Cowra", "Donald", "Dunkeld", "Echuca", "Flemington", "Gillgandra", "Gawler", "Gold Coast", "Grafton", "Hamilton", "Hanging Rock", "Hawkesbury", "Horsham", "Inverall", "Kembla Grange", "Kilmore", "Kyneton", "Leeton", "Mildura", "Halidon", "Moe", "Moruya", "Mt Gambier", "Mudgee", "Murray Bridge", "Murtoa", "Murwillumbah", "Naracoorte", "Narrogin", "Narromine", "Nowra", "Oakbank", "Parkes", "Penola", "Pt Augusta", "Pt Lincoln", "Pt Macquarie", "Queanbeyan", "Quirindi", "Randwick", "Rockhampton", "Rosehill", "Sale", "Sapphire Coast", "Scone", "Stony Creek", "Tamworth", "Taree", "Tatura", "Terang", "Townsville", "Wagga", "Wangaratta", Warracknabeal", "Warren", "Warrnambool", "Wellington", "Werribee", "Wodonga", "Wyong", "Yarra Valley" I've found these to be some of the worst performing (S/Rate) tracks for neurals....... |
Hi, Stix.
Unfortunately I haven't got records of the method by the tracks. I see they range from metro to bush so it's surprising they would have the same poor results. But then again, the neurals themselves can be surprising. I have also been looking at the class of race, but there doesn't seem to be any sort of pattern. The two selections in the 200 Points method have already been run. They were both smiles for a profit of $14.46. |
200 Points method.
One selection today: Taree 8/5 New lay system. Yesterday the Forum Curse struck. There was one accident from the three selections for a loss of $19.01. There's only been one accident from 24 selections so it was more or less expected. Today's selections are: Taree 4/9 5/9 7/3 Swan Hill 3/6 4/8 |
Don't want to hijack the thread michaelg, just looking for a bit of help from the members with unitab databases...
Could someone with a unitab database advise of the S/R and return of: * 100 pt raters, and * 3rd Radio Tab selection, and * Races 1-4 only If this could be done over a min period of 6 months, it would be very much appreciated!! Thanks in advance! |
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