Totally agree, although I've seen blocks of time where favourites win almost everything for a month or more.
Happened in the UK last year, and happened here last July/August at metro tracks.
I know, I was laying them :(

At one point in the UK, they had a 60% and then an 80% strike rate during a whole month. Only now has it returned to normal, still waiting for the nice run of outs which will even it out to 30%.

For the record, this included flat races.

Yes Chrome, I remember that UK period very well .
That was weird how long the period went for , I have never seen anything like that happen for many years.


But at the end of the year , the 30% average stats, will not be denied.

Sensational CRAPPY HORSE System.
 

I've had a retrospective look at this & today it found Balak. R2 - 2 Kenforce for $42 & Sandown R8 - 5 Hargitay $13 Uni but $17 Stab. There don't seem to be as many to back as I'd initially assumed. You're definitely right re. certain races to target & I think I'll look at a minimum price angle. Certainly worth more than just a look. Thanks Bagwan. the old bloke I used to get my ratings from (Jim - deceased) kept telling me to 'wait for the pendulum to swing as it always will' & he was spot on where runs of roughies or favs is concerned.

You could potentially have 6 bets per race if we are targetting TAB nos 2,3,4,5,6,7.

Of horses numbered 2,3,4,5,6,7 we eliminate those who have finished in the placings in their last race.

We also eliminate those that are scratched from the race.

A few interesting hits in HK Wed 14/5/08
R2 $36.90
R3 $51.70
R4 $15.40

Fri 16/5/08
Wagga R7 $85.70
Bend R8 $43.70

Sat 17/5/08
Rose R4 $33.50 shot

what are the rules? bet horses 2 to 7 if they finish unplaced last start? that could mean 6 bets per race right?

That's right, but it is very rare to see 6 selections.
In this case, if you dont like the value in the race ,then dont bet the race.

Another couple @ T/ville today & the last @ Taree. Not huge prices but not a lot of bets either. I'd better start acting instead of looking after the event.... but then again, knowing my luck they'll dry up :???: