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Hi TTA and Matt ,
Any thing come of this? My new system under way now (3 weeks only - 13 selections for 6 wins but no value.....) Still lookin , getting closer , but need price. And you ? |
Last start winner
Top ranked place percent Career Starts >= 15 |
Hi Axledog,
I have revisited my system a few weeks ago after I read about looking at starters without a lot of career runs. Formally I looked at horses with 7 to 29 career starts but I now only look at horses with <20 career starts, that are also last start winners and with a few other rules, one being prepost price is <$10. This has increased the POT% considerably. Keep working at it I'm sure you will strike it lucky soon! |
You have been TOUd. Please stick to discussing the betting system and not flaming/baiting forum members. Thank you. Moderator.
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The stats show that the average strike rate of horses decreases as number of career starts increases but I am not sure how to interpret this. Should we be giving horses with fewer starts a greater rating or should we be compensating horses that have had a lot of starts?
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There is no reason why the Peter Principle can not be applied to horses. They just go up in class until they become mediocre.
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Is there any danger as to posting who the members responsible for issuing the TOU in the future? Is that a problem? |
Hi Axledog,
I look at the following rules for last start winners
As I previously indicated I changed how I was applying my rules and since 19th May there has been 26 bets for 7 winners (27% S/R) and an increase in bank of 32.4 units on an outlay of 45 units = POT% of 72% The gold is out there - we just have to find it! |
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I didn't really look any further into this mate, my last start winner systems are all going well so I didn't feel the need to try and scrutinize any further. I hope your S/R continues, if you can get the best price you will be ahead over time. Cheers, Matt. |
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Cheers, Matt. |
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