ROBOT
 

HI MAX. In answer to what do I DO with a scratching to a maybe selection I have been ignoring that race as the PP would alter to a great extent So why worry as I do this manually.Regards ROBOT

A very interesting day.

According to selections of the original system, 2 races were selected for a total outlay of 22 units and 1 of them returned 38 units.

Both races would have been dropped according to Option B which drops races where the 5th fav is the same odds as the 6th fav.

Using the odds on the web2bet site, a total of 6 races were identified with returns on 4 of them. These odds are turning out to be a good source. Maybe even a set alternative.

Further testing required.

Okay results time

OPTION A (standard 3rd, 4th and 5th fav if they are odds of >=6, >=8, >=10:
WTD (week to date) Returns 141.10 units off 68 for POT of 107%
MTD (month to date) Returns 187 units off 159 for POT of 18%
YTD (year to date) Returns 728 off 514 for POT of 41%

OPTION B (drop any race where 5th fav is same odds as 6th fav)
WTD returns 22 off 23 for POT -2%
MTD returns 22 off 56 for POT -60%
YTD returns 554 off 298 for POT 86%

I guess dropping those races DOES MAKE A DIFFERENCE!

OPTION C (using Web2Bet website instead of Courier Mail for odds)
WTD returns 121 off 68 for POT 78%

Selections for today:

OPTION C (w2b site)
Ballarat7 - 3,12,4*
Ballarat8 - 9,3,6*
GoldCoast6 - 1,7,11*

I will get to the Courier Mail when I can.

courier Mail race selections are:

*2011 05 12 THU QRGOLDCOAST4, numbers 5 for 5 units, 2 for 4 units, and 12 for 3 units
2011 05 12 THU ARMORPHETTVILLE1, numbers 1 for 5 units, 10 for 4 units, and 4 for 2 units
2011 05 12 THU ARMORPHETTVILLE6, numbers 7 for 4 units, 8 for 4 units, and 5 for 3 units
*2011 05 12 THU VRBALLARAT7, numbers 3 for 4 units, 12 for 4 units, and 4 for 3 units
*2011 05 12 THU VRBALLARAT8, numbers 9 for 4 units, 3 for 4 units, and 6 for 3 units

Results:

OPTION A
Return 28.00
Outlay 56.00
Profit -$28.00
POT% -50.00%

OPTION B
Return 28.00
Outlay 22.00
Profit $6.00
POT% 27.27%

OPTION C (W2B)
Return -
Outlay 34.00
Profit -$34.00
POT -100%

Selections for tomorrow (FRI):

OPTION C (odds using Web2Bet site)
*2011 05 13 FRI ALBANY2
*2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH1
*2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH2
2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH4
2011 05 13 FRI SCONE3
*2011 05 13 FRI SCONE6
*2011 05 13 FRI SCONE7

Hi Max - you are going very well but just a thought ...

if the Pre-Post market is calculated for "Good" tracks and the tracks are Heavy (or slow) as was the situation today could this be one reason for today's below average performance?

Fred

I did go back through my selections to date and record the track conditions and filtering these made no real difference to returns. I am keeping an eye on this though as the sample data increases, so too will some of these less affecting filters, hopefully!

More selections for today (FRI):

OPTION 1 (Courier Mail)
*2011 05 13 FRI ALBANY2, numbers 8 for 4 units, 2 for 4 units, and 9 for 3 units
2011 05 13 FRI IPSWICH1, numbers 8 for 5 units, 9 for 4 units, and 2 for 3 units
*2011 05 13 FRI SCONE5, numbers 13 for 4 units, 6 for 4 units, and 7 for 3 units