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-   -   Default Neurals (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26127)

michaelg 19th March 2013 11:06 AM

One selection today:

Benalla
7/8

Out of interest, yesterday I layed the field in the 8 races - it provided a profit in six of them, and overall a good profit. I'll be doing this from today and keeping records in case it shows to be profitable.

Today's race (Benalla R6), laying the field. I've kept the liabilities simple because I don't know what the prices will be.

The liabilities I'm using:

$30 - nos 1, 2, 4, 8
$33 - the other horses.

michaelg 19th March 2013 03:45 PM

The selection was beaten for a profit of $4.20.

michaelg 20th March 2013 11:20 AM

Today's selections:

Eagle Farm
6/11
8/6

Sandown
4/7
5/11

Balaklava
8/2

Pinjarra
6/10
7/3
9/9

Newcastle
4/3
7/6

Rinconpaul 20th March 2013 03:44 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
It's surely a worry though for the backers, when you think about it!
Your using criteria that's supposed to select the horse, with the best chance of winning based on all algorithms, to LAY?
Maybe the trifecta and 1st 4 backers should be selecting the bottom of the pile neurals for value?
Cheers RP
Further to the above comment, I note that nearly 40% of winners thus far today can be found outside the top 3 default neurals. Must be considered by anyone betting exotics
RP

michaelg 20th March 2013 07:46 PM

Reality has finally caught up with the method. There were 5 accidents from the 10 selections.

For the last few days I've been laying neural outsiders depending on a simple system, not complicated and time-consuming as was/is the Don Scott's lay outsiders method.

There have been no accidents, not even one placegetter, so I'm hopeful about it, and I think there is some logic to the method providing the neural algorithys are reasonably accurate.

Tomorrow I'll start a new thread with the selections.

There's one more selection to go - it's Launceston 7/5.

SpeedyBen 20th March 2013 09:46 PM

Where is R&S?
 
I think they put the neurals in upside down today Michael.
R&S seem to have gone off the air completely. I'm getting only 404 errors when trying to access them. I haven't seen that error since the early days of the internet.

Rinconpaul 21st March 2013 11:05 AM

R&S
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
I think they put the neurals in upside down today Michael..
You might be on to something there Speedy. Just glanced at the neurals for today Warwick Farm R1. No. 6 Chandos is on top, No. 4 Furious Jet on bottom. Go to Skyform and its the complete reverse in the Best Overall.
RP

Rinconpaul 21st March 2013 12:21 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Anything that comes from me, comes direct from the Lodge your Lordship.
Cheers RP
Looks like I'm packing my bags!
RP

SpeedyBen 21st March 2013 02:20 PM

[QUOTE=Rinconpaul]Looks like I'm packing my bags!
RP[/QUOTE

I hear that they are going to draft Michael G in as leader.


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