OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - Big Value Favourites Betting System

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Selections for 30th. April using Saturday morning's Herald Sun for odds.

Caulfield:
9/1 Entre Nous 4th. $6.00

Doomben:
7/1 Too Good To Refuse $6.50, 2nd. by a half head.
7/5 Cylinder Beach 1st. $5.50 SP, TF $6.00 Also a nice quinella.

Morphettville:
7/10 Rationality Unpl. $4.20

Here are the selections for 7th. May using Saturday morning's Herald Sun for odds.

Flemington:
9/2 Gabella $4.80 scratched

Rosehill:
9/3 Montauk $6.00, 4th. $4.40.
9/11 Moher $6.00, 1st. $5.40 tote, SP $4.80, TF $8.00!

Morphettville:
7/18 Don't Doubt Mamma $6.50, unpl. $7.50.

Selections for Saturday, 14th. May using the Winning Post for the odds.

Caulfield
9/1 Nevis

Doomben
6/8 Lordag

Morphettville
3/2 Edgewood
3/7 Victory Downs

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neil

Selections for Saturday, 14th. May using the Winning Post for the odds.

Caulfield
9/1 Nevis

Doomben
6/8 Lordag

Morphettville
3/2 Edgewood
3/7 Victory Downs

Using Saturday morning's Herald Sun odds.

Caulfield
5/12 Better Land

Doomben
6/3 Jumbo Prince

Morphettville
5/9 Award Of Merit
3/7 Victory Downs

A number of the systems have been doing vey well since I posted them, like this one which had 2 bets and picked up $10.00 SP winner Hursley at Caulfield on Saturday.

Still doing well when I check.

Using the odds from Saturday's Herald Sun winners on Saturday were:

Hursley $5.00 SP at Caulfield
Sagaronne $3.70 SP at Doomben

Flemington R6 N10 Oak Door
Rosehill R8 N11 Hogmanay N13 Kadinsky
Morphettville R4 N10 Alaskan Jade R8 N6 Big Effort

Moonee Valley R7 N3 Dane Thunder N7 Lunar Spin

Canterbury R5 N5 Murraguldrie

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neil

The aim is to back winning favourites at odds higher than the long term winning percentage of favourites.

It operates on Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide Saturday metropolitan meetings.

Using a good form guide with reliable pre post betting odds, back the favourite that has the highest pre post betting odds. If there are 2 favourites selected by this rule, then back them both. With 3 or more give the meeting a miss.

What I have noticed is that actual betting odds can vary quite wildly from these pre post odds.

Neil, something to think about ........

There needs to be some incorporation of Field Size in your assessment.

EXAMPLE USING FAVOURITES:

Field.....WSR.......TAB
8..........35.33.....2.50
9..........32.95.....2.64
10........32.15.....2.83
11........29.00.....2.99
12........28.15.....3.03
13........27.21.....3.22
14........26.68.....3.27

Sample: 190,924 Saturday Metro races, all Going, All distances.

Other than that I reckon your approach is well founded.