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-   -   Interesting top weight betting system (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31057)

stixNstonez 14th June 2018 06:49 PM

Did play around with Top Weights some time back. Mainly multiple betting. Had a number of filters, but best results came when restricting to those in the first four lines of the prepost market.

armchairjock 15th July 2018 08:20 AM

Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
Won't divulge all but three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100

demodocus 19th July 2018 06:41 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by armchairjock
Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
........ three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100


A sensible place to start.

Sprint race, established rider, AND two other Ratings agencies "rate" the horse.

Then you refine their estimates. If it works, why not.

CrazyHorse 12th September 2018 08:35 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by armchairjock
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100

A common element in a lot of my systems

shaun1993 25th April 2019 12:22 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stixNstonez
Did play around with Top Weights some time back. Mainly multiple betting. Had a number of filters, but best results came when restricting to those in the first four lines of the prepost market.

Quote:
Originally Posted by armchairjock
Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
Won't divulge all but three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100


Top Weight
In the first four lines of the prepost market
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100

darkydog2002 25th April 2019 01:41 PM

Thanks Shaun.

Will try it out.

Cheers,

STARRAFT 15th May 2019 09:25 PM

Clear top weighted horse down in class on previous start

darkydog2002 16th May 2019 04:27 PM

Hi STARRAFT,

Looks ok to me.

Thanks.

POSEIDON 9th June 2019 05:41 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by STARRAFT
I always take into consideration the clear top weight in a race. Then I sometimes lay, sometimes back, or just ignore.

Best horse in the race according to the handicapper, so yes, consider. However, the top-weight in a handicap is at a disadvantage, giving away weight. You need to consider the field strength. Just how disadvantaged is the horse relative to the field strength.

darkydog2002 9th June 2019 09:46 PM

True also.

Interestingly it was Warren Block who researched this factor and he was a non Bettor.


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