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-   -   100 Raters (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18672)

Stix 11th March 2009 12:40 PM

100 Raters
 
Hi All

Does anyone have a list of 100 Raters and The Radio Tips for the corresponding Races?

Thanks In Advance

Stix

goty0405 11th March 2009 02:15 PM

I have that data at home. If no-one has posted it up before I get back from work I will put it up for you.

Stix 11th March 2009 02:25 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by goty0405
I have that data at home. If no-one has posted it up before I get back from work I will put it up for you.
Thanks very much goty0405, much appreciated.

goty0405 11th March 2009 09:20 PM

Hey mate I pulled out all 100 raters from about 18 months worth of data and I have 28296 selections.

I can't really paste up a list that big here so if you want to shoot me a PM I can send you the spreadsheet with all the data - horses, win and place prices, rating, and Radio Tips.

As a side note I will give you some stats...

Just 100 Raters:
Selections: 28296
1st: 6355 (22.46%)
2nd: 4589 (16.22%)
3rd: 3666 (12.96%)
Not Placed: 13686 (48.37%)

100 Raters that are in top 4 of Radio Tips
Selections: 19823
1st: 5201 (26.24%)
2nd: 3561 (17.96%)
3rd: 2727 (13.76%)
Not Placed: 8334 (42.04%)

100 Raters that are in top 3 of Radio Tips
Selections: 18262
1st: 4962 (27.17%)
2nd: 3315 (18.15%)
3rd: 2518 (13.79%)
Not Placed: 7467 (40.89%)

100 Raters that are in top 2 of Radio Tips
Selections: 14416
1st: 4252 (29.5%)
2nd: 2670 (18.52%)
3rd: 1967 (13.64%)
Not Placed: 5527 (38.34%)

100 Raters that are in top
1 of Radio Tips
Selections: 8927
1st: 2928 (32.8%)
2nd: 1637 (18.34%)
3rd: 1211 (13.57%)
Not Placed: 3151 (35.3%)


I hope that can help you start off. Let me know how you go as I have looked at something similar and while it was close I didnt quite get it make a profit but you might have some idea I didnt think of. :D

Shaun 11th March 2009 09:46 PM

Hi, would you have the average divi for each of those winners

sportzfan 11th March 2009 10:36 PM

...which states (location) are we talking goty0405

...& assuming a few...any location better than others

...cheers

goldcoast 11th March 2009 11:51 PM

Using the statistics provided from a couple of threads.

100 raters + 1st Selection - 32%
Opening price lower than pre post - 96%

Could we get a profitable system?

partypooper 12th March 2009 01:40 AM

Wish I could provide the statistical data that others here can (but I would never be able to figure out how to do it, i.e I'm still fiddling with the VHS) BUT I can tell you that I have been activly betting the following: Top Pic , + 100 rater (all jointers in) + late mail and have NEVER fallen below break even.

BUT, also I have noticed that the so called radio selection is in fact (in nearly all cases) the race caller for that meeting, and some are better than others.............. so there you go ,..... the HUMAN element!

partypooper 12th March 2009 01:45 AM

goty0405

100 Raters that are in top 1 of Radio Tips
Selections: 8927
1st: 2928 (32.8%)
2nd: 1637 (18.34%)
3rd: 1211 (13.57%)
Not Placed: 3151 (35.3%)


I hope that can help you start off. Let me know how you go as I have looked at something similar and while it was close I didnt quite get it make a profit but you might have some idea I didnt think of.

goty0405
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Could be worth just adding late mail selection to this and see where it goes??

Secondly split into Metro and non metro as you know we can obtain Best Tote or SP for Metro which might just make the difference??? especially for the place!

stugots 12th March 2009 11:08 AM

so i get a 13.62% win strike rate for 100 raters not included in 1st 4 radio tips

would be interested to see the returns on that as it would probably include most of those double figure 100 raters that keep getting up...


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