Ratings2Win Home Track Advantage - Does it exist and can you profit from it?
 

Ratings2Win Home Track Advantage - Does it exist and can you profit from it?
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There has always been debate from form analysts and media commentators regarding the issue of whether a home track advantage exists for individual trainers. Some examples of this would be Peter Snowden (Warwick Farm), Gai Waterhouse (Randwick), and Chris Waller (Rosehill).

Can you make money from horses that have a Home Track Advantage?

The statistics show that for metropolitan racing the notion of home track advantage does not exist. The same does not apply though to provincial and country racing. In these jurisdictions our data demonstrates conclusively that when combined with a few other unique variables (found only in R2W data) that the home track advantage can deliver significant profits from a strong sample size.

So the answer to can you make money from horses that have a home track advantage? is YES, providing you have access to the unique data and variables contained within R2W Axis.

Following on from our successful Profitable Favourites system, we have once again employed the Axis Selection Finder and Analyser for the purposes of developing a system based around the Home Track Advantage theme. For a limited period of time the FREE selections from this system will be showcased on this forum and our website. They will take over from the Profitable Favourites selections.

The historical results for the Home Track Advantage system are as follows:

Long term Results: 05/03/2010 to 31/07/2013. 1245 days.
Cumulative Number of Bets - 2,822
(2 per day on average)
Strike Rate - 28.2%
Positive POT 14.30% (best of NSW/SP).

See the historical results file updated to end of July 2013 (attached to this thread)

Details: These selections are bets regardless of price or track condition. Expect around 2 selections per day on average.

Betting Analysis: (assumes the better of SP or NSW tote)

Assumes a starting bank of $10,000.

Flat Staking betting 1% of starting bank: $40,522.00, maximum bank risk 22.4% and average bank risk 9.8%.

Constant Proportional betting to collect 4% of starting bank: $24,128.69, maximum bank risk 19.3% and average bank risk 8.5%.

Variable Proportional betting to collect 4% of bank: $57,662.25, maximum bank risk 52.8% and average bank risk 11.7%.

Importantly you can obtain the rules for any system found on this forum or our website by purchasing the appropriate Axis stater pack and annual subscription. Please contact Neil for more details http://www.propun.com.au/contact/

no selections 05/08/2013