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-   -   Back those first up winners (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31284)

Neil 27th October 2016 02:11 AM

Back those first up winners
 
This betting system operates on Saturdays and major public holiday meetings at Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane.

Here are the rules.

1. The horse is first up from a spell of at least 2 months.

2. It has a winning strike rate of at least 25% and a first up winning strike rate of at least 50%.

3. That makes it a bet - for this system ignore 2YO and jumps races.

Winner 22/10/2016

Randwick:
Muraqaba $13.30 best tote

Sands 16th December 2016 04:58 PM

Qualifiers tonight

Canterbury
R5 Redouble

Moonee Valley
R3 Anatola
R4 Mr Dashing
R5 Manihi Mischief

Neil 4th January 2017 08:32 PM

Surprised there are so few comments/selections posted about this excellent logical betting system - also the 1s betting system.

UselessBettor 4th January 2017 08:52 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
Surprised there are so few comments/selections posted about this excellent logical betting system - also the 1s betting system.



Perhaps because a) it has very few selections and b) there is no statistical evidence to prove it works long term.

Sands 19th January 2017 09:39 PM

Randwick, 21 Jan, R2 Guard of Honour

Sands 6th March 2017 10:12 AM

Our Beebee, winner, Eagle Farm Saturday

Sands 10th March 2017 12:45 AM

Rosehill, 11 Mar, R1 Spectroscope

Sands 11th March 2017 10:59 AM

Flemington, R3 Ken's Dream

darkydog2002 11th March 2017 01:38 PM

Not a bad effort today.

Dont know about Night Races as I am unsure how a horse performs under lights.

Cheers

kiwiz 18th March 2017 05:28 AM

Flemington R3 Merriest

kiwiz 18th March 2017 05:34 AM

Flemington R3 Leotie

kiwiz 18th March 2017 05:39 AM

Flemington R7 Staviva

kiwiz 18th March 2017 05:45 AM

Flemington R8 Jacquinot Bay

kiwiz 18th March 2017 05:50 AM

Rosehill R3 My Country

kiwiz 18th March 2017 06:01 AM

Rosehill R8 Russian Revolution

kiwiz 19th March 2017 07:09 AM

Missed this one

Flemington R1 Lake Como

Lord Greystoke 19th March 2017 07:36 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by kiwiz
Rosehill R8 Russian Revolution


Bravo Kiwi. I had it in another system but didn't realise you had posted it here.

Cheers LG

kiwiz 19th May 2017 03:06 PM

Meteoroid looks like a qualifier
R4 Ascot Saturday

grizzle 19th June 2017 08:29 AM

(moonee valley) lord da vinci won for me

darkydog2002 19th June 2017 04:46 PM

Whats the Win Strike Rate since first posted?

Cheers.

JB1 19th June 2017 07:44 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
This betting system operates on Saturdays and major public holiday meetings at Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane.

Here are the rules.

1. The horse is first up from a spell of at least 2 months.

2. It has a winning strike rate of at least 25% and a first up winning strike rate of at least 50%.

3. That makes it a bet - for this system ignore 2YO and jumps races.

One of my systems is very similar (has a couple of extra filters) but I'm including midweek metro. Also including 2yo races, but only during the period Jan 1 thru Jul 31. Same for 2yo races for some other systems I use.
Working for me

kumite 28th June 2017 08:01 AM

think the first up winning strike rate benchmark is set too high
would set an initial filter to a lower mark, like 33%
then have a bit of a look at the qualifiers
they could have a strong first up record without necessarily winning at least 50%

watsonnek 8th July 2017 10:25 AM

Wouldn't restrict to just Sat / PHols
Struck a few longshots myself on other days

Sands 13th July 2017 11:28 PM

Caulfield, 15 July, R7 Supido

kiwiz 16th August 2017 05:15 AM

Hey Doc,,winner Flemington Saturday,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 27th August 2017 04:24 AM

Bonny O'Reilly,,winner Rosehill Saturday,,looks like she qualified

kiwiz 2nd September 2017 05:34 AM

Merchant Navy looks like a qualifier
R4 Caulfield today

grizzle 18th September 2017 07:25 AM

redkirk warrior, royal symphony, larlabrook, viridine, sweet embrace & silvera, all won for me

kiwiz 25th September 2017 04:19 AM

Final Salute,,winner Belmont Saturday,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 25th September 2017 04:28 AM

Dream Finnish,,winner Belmont Saturday,,looks like she qualified

kiwiz 2nd October 2017 05:19 AM

In Her Time,,winner Randwick,,looks like she qualified

kiwiz 2nd October 2017 05:38 AM

She Will Reign,,winner Moonee Valley,,looks like she qualified

kiwiz 2nd October 2017 05:48 AM

Snitty Kitty,,winner Moonee Valley,,looks like she qualified

kiwiz 9th October 2017 06:30 AM

Salorsci,,winner Belmont,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 9th October 2017 06:39 AM

Dollar For Dollar,,winner Morphettville,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 19th December 2017 05:54 PM

Pinch River,,winner Doomben Sat,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 19th December 2017 06:07 PM

Care To Think,,winner Doomben Sat,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 19th December 2017 06:13 PM

Illustrious Tycoon,,winner Ascot Sat,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 19th December 2017 06:16 PM

Itz Invincible,,winner Morphettville Sat,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 8th January 2018 05:57 AM

Fortensky,,winner Randwick Sat,,looks like he qualified


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