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-   -   Triple 9's system [ Sat. !0th. ]. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=4612)

crash 9th April 2004 08:48 AM


For those interested, this system [a stats. proofed version impossible to analyze or backfit] with it's selections shall return under another thread.

Cheers.


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:34 ]

sportznut 9th April 2004 09:24 AM
Looks like a good idea Crash. Good luck.

Felicity 9th April 2004 12:04 PM
Quote:

Rules

1. Sat. metro

2. Must have 4 starts or more from a spell with the last 4 starts adding up to no more than 9 [0=10] and contain at least 1 win.

3.<= $6 SP

4. Barrier position no more than No.9

5. Where there are 2 selections or more, back the one with the shortest odds [if same odds, back the lowest barrier No.].


Ran it for Sat Metro 1991 - 2003

Strike Rate 26.2%
Loss .......-5.3%

:sad:

crash 9th April 2004 02:26 PM


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:11 ]

Felicity 9th April 2004 04:30 PM
Quote:
Like all systems, if you back check them for 12yrs., they all loose. However, some years will win and some won't. Hitting the 'streak' is what counts.


I wish you luck.

YR ... SR ...... LOT

92 ... 28.1 ... +2.0%
93 ... 29.1 ... +2.8%
94 ... 26.3 ... -2.4%
95 ... 26.0 ... -1.4%
96 ... 21.9 ... -19.9%
97 ... 25.7 ... -9.0%
98 ... 27.6 ... -1.6%
99 ... 24.6 ... -15.6%
00 ... 26.2 ... -4.0%
01 ... 27.2 ... -5.3%
02 ... 25.7 ... -7.4%
03 ... 26.1 ... -3.9%

I hope you find your "streak". Even if you shorten up your criteria you're on a loser ... no disrespect intended ...just a statement of facts.

Bhagwan 10th April 2004 04:01 AM
Just a sugestion,
maybe delete any qualifyer that is less than $4.50 in the prepost market.
The SR is there ,so value needs to be targeted.

crash 10th April 2004 05:59 AM


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:12 ]

crash 10th April 2004 06:21 AM


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:15 ]

Felicity 10th April 2004 10:10 AM
Quote:
NEW Rules:
1. Sat. metro
2. Must have 4 starts or more from a spell with the last 4 starts adding up to no more than 9 [0=10] and contain at least 1 win.

3. Pre-post odds of no more than $9 and not less than $4.50 SP

4. Barrier position no more than No.9

5. Where there are 2 selections or more, back the one with the shortest odds [if same odds, back the lowest barrier No.].


This gives a Strike rate of 14.9% and LOT of -10.7% over 13 yrs.

If you adjust to Barrier <=6 and SP <=$4.50
then you get SR 32.3% and LOT -5.7%

In this latter case yr largely dealing with favourites, the first case (because of the $4.50 - $9.00 price bracket) is probably excluding many shorty winners.

What it does demonstrate is that you can't get rid of the LOT by playing with the acceptable SP because of the inverse ratio between SR and return.

rgds

crash 10th April 2004 10:59 AM


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:16 ]


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