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-   -   10 Block Staking plan (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=22345)

Bhagwan 25th August 2011 07:14 AM

10 Block Staking plan
 
This plan will make a profit if you have a 22% SR with your method of selection so as long the selections are approx 3.25+

Bank needed 220 units.
Good for 80 bets.
Now if you cant pick some winners amongst this lot , have a look in the mirror & ask what am I doing in this game

Bet the first 10 races for 1 unit.

If after 10 races you are in profit , start from the beginning.

If we are behind, the next series of 10 bet is for 1.5 units .
Keep going win , lose or draw , until we are in front , then start again ect .

1.0 units x 10
1.5 units x 10
2.0 x 10
2.5 x10
3.0 x 10
3.5 x 10
4.0 x 10
4.5 x 10
Stop
80 bets
Cost 220 units.
Start again, if your game.

Win $3.60 & your 1% in front.

Do this multiple times & you will be laughing your as s off, over the week or month.

It works a treat because it can absorb 20 outs in a row , no problem, which is the downfall of most progressive staking plans.

In punting , there is always a run of wins followed by a run of outs.
The problem is is that we never know how long the outs will last.
That's what tears most staking plans apart.

More people lose money following staking plans than chasing winners at level stakes , that's why level stakes is so heavily advocated in most discussions about punting.

This plan tries to address this without having heart attacks along the way.
One will find that if the betting is broken down in sets of 10 , one will discover that where there is a horror run in the first 10 bets , it is usually followed by a good run in the next 10 bets .
If not, the 3 run of 10 bets will result in a bunch of winners close together & so on..

The objective is to try & show a profit in a series of bets , then start again.

If a profit is shown, say in the 3rd set of 10 bets but not enough to recover the losses prior to that , then repeat that set of 10 bets.

Have fun on the Punt
If its not that.
Seek help from some govt. approved official who doesn't give a Monkeys.

thorns 25th August 2011 11:41 AM

Would you consider using this for dutching multiple runners per race? Would be getting the $3.25+ divi, but a much higher strike rate.

partypooper 25th August 2011 01:16 PM

G'Day Bhags, I agree that block plan this maybe better on the palpitations, but and I'm afraid I'm going to be a "party-pooper" again, the nitty gritty is this:

Work this plan for a while , then when there has been heaps of bets do the following exercise:

Add up the TOTAL AMOUNT bet, divide it by the TOTAL no. of bets to give you your AVERAGE bets size,

Now apply that amount ( hypothetically) to the total winners and see what your return is........

You will find that the POT at the level stakes (if any) is exactly the same as with the staking plan "GUARANTEED"

moeee 25th August 2011 02:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
This plan will make a profit if you have a 22% SR with your method of selection so as long the selections are approx 3.25+



$3.25 is 30.77%

It makes sense to me what I have read numerous times.
NO System can make a Profit on a losing Game.
If you are picking 22% Winners , and they are only paying 30.77% , then that is not a Winning Game.

Good Luck with it anyway.

Bhagwan 25th August 2011 07:09 PM

I have used it & it makes good money.

It wont work if they all pay exactly $3.25

That is the min div, not the average.

Example.
10L x 1 unit = Loss -10
then
1.5L
1.5L
1.5L
1.5 x 3.70
1.5 x 3.70
1.5 x 3.70
1.5 x 3.90

O/L 20.50
Ret 22.50
Profit +2.00

+.90% increase on bank. Start again

+9.75% POT
4 from 17 = 23.5% SR

Level stakes =O/L 17
Ret 15
Loss -2
-11.76% LOT


Try it out on races with ,<=7 runners the first 2 favs & delete one of them using your favourite filter.
Only bet if 3.25 min can be had.
Easy.

You don't have to believe that a staking plan cant turn a negative into a positive, just because some one else told you so.
The same people will also tell you, that you cant win on the races.
So do you believe that also?

Just to prove it to yourself , start laying those selections & see what happens next.

moeee 25th August 2011 07:16 PM

Please stop the baiting. Moderator 3.

Bhagwan 25th August 2011 07:20 PM

Heres a Dutching staking plan.

Best to target <= 11 runner races where the race fav is 2.20+
These are usually dominated by the top 4 in the market.

Bet
10
15
20
25
30 ect

Repeat bet if successful race does not put us in front.

Restart once in profit.

Bhagwan 26th August 2011 05:51 AM

Off topic. Moderator 3.

Bhagwan 26th August 2011 05:55 AM

That's meant to read ...

"Some people" (Not "Most people")

moeee 26th August 2011 09:56 AM

Off topic. Moderator 3.


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