I ran this idea through on 3 different days:

Day 1 - 3 bets for $4.5 win all up. 66% strike rate.
Day 2 - 10 bets for $14.8 win all up. 60% strike rate.
Day 3 - 14 bets for $19.2 win all up. 50% strike rate.

I did give all favourites less than $2 a miss. I usually steer away from favourite backing (I like the longshots!) - but this idea seems to have something behind it!

Top Weight

Fav

Won LS

Here is the last 7 days for this system, flat stake using unitab prices to a mac of 3.30

Runners 92
Av Price 2.31
Win 41
Win% 44.57%
Av W/Price 2.19
Outlay 2300.00
Ruturn 2242.50
Profit ($57.50)
P.O.T -2.50%

FYI Results over 2017

687 Bets
262 Winners @ 38.1% SR
Return $588.40 @ 14.4% LOT for NSW prices

Regards

won LS by 1.5 lengths or more

The only filter I would suggest is include ALL Meetings.

That was its original contention.

Though when I did place a substantial amount on a few years ago I included .

Same Jockey

Same Distance .

Cheers

had at least 6 starts
win strike rate of at least 25%
place strike rate of at least 40%
won at the distance or within 100 metres under or over
placed at today’s track
more than one selection back the horse with the best win strike rate

ignore races < than 1200 metres, 2yo or hurdle or steeple

back the favourite if,
not first up
ran 1st 2nd 3rd or 4th at its last start
not going back in distance from its previous run
not going up in distance more than 200 metres from its previous run

that's it

wouldn't necessarily dismiss if on pace that run

Track Condition : Heavy

TAB: 10 - 24

API Rank: 1 - 1

Unitab Rank: 100 - 98