Gold Fever R2 Awapuni tomorrow

hello Neil
curious why you've set the max winning margin at 3.75 lengths

Ours To Keep who won the listed 2yo event at Doomben on Saturday won his previous start at Doomben by 4.30 lengths (thus not qualifying by your current rules)

a winning margin > 3.75 lengths especially on a city track, not a good thing?

similar scenario she will reign
won the inglis nursery at randwick saturday
previous start 8.3len winner kembla grange

When discussing this many years ago with a successful punting friend he suggested with automatic rules like in betting systems 4l. plus often indicates a very weak beaten field.

Different when using judgement etc.

If you find no other horses from that race where this horse won have gone on to be competitive or win then yes it is a weak field and you discount the winning lengths, but if 2 or 3 of those horses have gone on to place or win other races then its a very good 4L win.

As always its a "depends" which make the difference of a profit or a loss and it needs to be coded into your system logic or handicapping process.

yep, max 3.75len as a guide, use your own judgement anything over

Karaka Million
 

New kid on the block,,Hasahalo
Won yesterdays Eclipse Stakes at Ellerslie
Gift Of Power a close 2nd
Princess Rihanna 4th,,no luck,,squeezed out at the start & then tightened again in the closing stages of the race

2017 Karaka Million Order of Entry

Current top 5

1 Gift of Power
2 Hasahalo
3 Star Treasure
4 Talaria
5 Princess Rihanna

Felton Road was a qualifier at Ellerslie on Saturday
Won his race & moves up to 6th spot,,Karaka Million order of entry

Seven last start winners in the Golden Slipper final field
They are (last start winning margin)

Houtzen 4L
Trapeze Artist 3L
Frolic 2.3L
Tulip 1.8L
Catchy 0.4L
Single Bullet 0.2L
Diamond Tathagata 0.2L