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-   -   High strike rate place system (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15830)

wesmip1 30th April 2007 07:46 PM

High strike rate place system
 
Testing a new system.

Inital tests over 55 bets ( which isn't enough ) shows a strike rate of 40% win and 89% place. THIS IS A PLACE SYSTEM. I would not bet this for the win as you will be taking many unders. It had a run of 28 places in a row.

This system only has 3 simple rules for the inital selection base. The only rule after that is that they are showing less than $5.00 on all totes just prior to the jump. After inital testing I will share them if the system is profitable.

Selections for tommorrow:

Goulburn:
Race 1 : Lyncean Academy ($3.70)
Race 3 : Our Saint($2.30)
Race 5 : Deejay Brahms($7.00)
Race 6 : Lady Zsa Zsa($2.60)
Race 7 : Vanidosa($3.00)
Race 8 : Maharishi($2.90)

Warnambool
Race 5 : Jerrymac ($2.80)
Race 6 : Poker Face ($26.00)

Remember these are only a selection if the price for a win is less than $5. I have left in those showing more than $5 prepost as sometimes they come in.

Posting these as a bit of friendly competiton to see if I can beat Savages high strike rate. Personally I think the odds on this will be about 1.10 every race.

Good Luck.

michaelg 30th April 2007 08:01 PM

Wesmip1, good luck with the system.

As a matter of interest, I've found as a general rule in Place betting that the shorter the price with the TAB (NSW) the better percentagewise with Betfair. I think the best price I got for a TAB $1.04 divvy was $1.31 on Betfair.

wesmip1 30th April 2007 08:15 PM

michaelg,

thanks for the info .. I'll keep a record of both the tab and betfair and see how it looks.

Good Luck.

savage 1st May 2007 06:55 AM

Bring it on
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Testing a new system.

Inital tests over 55 bets ( which isn't enough ) shows a strike rate of 40% win and 89% place. THIS IS A PLACE SYSTEM. I would not bet this for the win as you will be taking many unders. It had a run of 28 places in a row.

This system only has 3 simple rules for the inital selection base. The only rule after that is that they are showing less than $5.00 on all totes just prior to the jump. After inital testing I will share them if the system is profitable.

Selections for tommorrow:

Goulburn:
Race 1 : Lyncean Academy ($3.70)
Race 3 : Our Saint($2.30)
Race 5 : Deejay Brahms($7.00)
Race 6 : Lady Zsa Zsa($2.60)
Race 7 : Vanidosa($3.00)
Race 8 : Maharishi($2.90)

Warnambool
Race 5 : Jerrymac ($2.80)
Race 6 : Poker Face ($26.00)

Remember these are only a selection if the price for a win is less than $5. I have left in those showing more than $5 prepost as sometimes they come in.

Posting these as a bit of friendly competiton to see if I can beat Savages high strike rate. Personally I think the odds on this will be about 1.10 every race.

Good Luck.

Hi Wesmip

Great stuff, hopefully this will get alot more prople involed for the common cause. Make some money on the races

So far from when I refined my selection process on the 19/4/2004

Races 60 Wins 25 41% Places 49 81%

I also have been looking at places only

We then only need a staking plan that will control betting i.e retirement plan

good luck

wesmip1 1st May 2007 02:35 PM

Warnambool races are over as far as the selectiosn go.

Warnambool
Race 5 : Jerrymac ($2.80) - WIN (t)$4.80/$1.80, (bf) $4.90/$2.00
Race 6 : Poker Face ($26.00) - Not a selection as it was not under $5.00

Results:
Selections : 1
Wins : 1
Win ROT : (t) $4.80 (bf) $4.90
Placings : 1
Place ROT : (t) $1.80 (bf) $2.00

Please note (t) = best tote price available (bf) = betfair price on BAT.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 1st May 2007 04:33 PM

And the rest of the results :

Goulburn:

Race 1 : Lyncean Academy ($3.70) - SCRATCHED
Race 3 : Our Saint($2.30) - SCRATCHED
Race 5 : Deejay Brahms($7.00) - Not a selection as over $5.00 on totes. WIN at $6.60.
Race 6 : Lady Zsa Zsa($2.60) - WIN (t)$2.20/$1.20, (bf) $2.40/$1.33
Race 7 : Vanidosa($3.00) - Not a selection as over $5.00 on totes. Not Placed.
Race 8 : Maharishi($2.90) - SCRATCHED

Race 7 was an interesting one where you could have gone either way and bet it or left it. I left it as it was showing up to $5.50 on unitab just before the jump.

Off to a nice start with 2 selections for 2 wins.

Results:
Selections : 2
Wins : 2
Win ROT : (t) $7.00 (bf) $7.30
Win strike rate : 100%
Placings : 2
Place ROT : (t) $3.00 (bf) $3.33
Place Strike Rate : 100%

Please note (t) = best tote price available (bf) = betfair price on BAT.

savage 1st May 2007 04:48 PM

Go for it
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
And the rest of the results :

Goulburn:

Race 1 : Lyncean Academy ($3.70) - SCRATCHED
Race 3 : Our Saint($2.30) - SCRATCHED
Race 5 : Deejay Brahms($7.00) - Not a selection as over $5.00 on totes. WIN at $6.60.
Race 6 : Lady Zsa Zsa($2.60) - WIN (t)$2.20/$1.20, (bf) $2.40/$1.33
Race 7 : Vanidosa($3.00) - Not a selection as over $5.00 on totes. Not Placed.
Race 8 : Maharishi($2.90) - SCRATCHED

Race 7 was an interesting one where you could have gone either way and bet it or left it. I left it as it was showing up to $5.50 on unitab just before the jump.

Off to a nice start with 2 selections for 2 wins.

Results:
Selections : 2
Wins : 2
Win ROT : (t) $7.00 (bf) $7.30
Win strike rate : 100%
Placings : 2
Place ROT : (t) $3.00 (bf) $3.33
Place Strike Rate : 100%

Please note (t) = best tote price available (bf) = betfair price on BAT.

Well done wesmip1

Since refined system
Races 60 Wins 25 41% Places 49 81%
1/5/2007
Goulburn
R6/ N7 Won

TOTAL R 61 / W26 / P50 W42% P82%

wesmip1 1st May 2007 04:52 PM

19 Selections for tommorrow so we should see either a nice strike rate or a horrible day.

Balaklava
Race 1 : Damigar
Race 2 : Moctezuma
Race 5 : Catskin
Race 9 : Ullrich
Bunbury
Race 1 : Live Our Dream
Race 2 : Upgrade
Race 5 : Lexicon Gold
Race 8 : Princess Hannah

Canterbury
Race 1 : Up'n'doing
Race 2 : Swat
Race 4 : Letmeentertainyou
Race 6 : Sway Me Now

Doomben
Race 1 : Encosta Tszyu
Race 4 : Costa Complete

Kempsey
Race 6 : Casino Bob
Race 8 : Likazyrtec

Launceston
Race 1 : Socrates
Race 5 : Adamageo

Warnambool
Race 9 : French King

Good Luck.

savage 2nd May 2007 05:27 AM

Same selections
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
19 Selections for tommorrow so we should see either a nice strike rate or a horrible day.

Balaklava
Race 1 : Damigar
Race 2 : Moctezuma
Race 5 : Catskin
Race 9 : Ullrich
Bunbury
Race 1 : Live Our Dream
Race 2 : Upgrade
Race 5 : Lexicon Gold
Race 8 : Princess Hannah

Canterbury
Race 1 : Up'n'doing
Race 2 : Swat
Race 4 : Letmeentertainyou
Race 6 : Sway Me Now

Doomben
Race 1 : Encosta Tszyu
Race 4 : Costa Complete

Kempsey
Race 6 : Casino Bob
Race 8 : Likazyrtec

Launceston
Race 1 : Socrates
Race 5 : Adamageo

Warnambool
Race 9 : French King

Good Luck.

Morning

Balaclava
r 5/ catskin
Bunbury
R 1/ live our dream

Only 2 races same selections. This will be interesting to see what happens as I have only 9 selections

good luck to you

AngryPixie 2nd May 2007 08:52 AM

How will you know who win's?
 
Guys

How will you know who's method is the best?


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