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-   -   api win% pla% (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=24885)

gunny72 30th August 2012 02:32 PM

api win% pla%
 
I have been playing around with api, win% and pla% and feel that they are equally important. Anyone any suggestions as to the relative importance of these figures?

garyf 30th August 2012 02:39 PM

Yes they are important.


I actually get better results by listing,
Their rankings rather than an individual figure.

This is more accurate for me as i bet in higher class,
Races and for me gives a more accurate guide.

Others may find the other way better.

I only include them as a filter to improve profits,
Not as an actual selection criteria however.

Cheers.
Garyf.

Barny 30th August 2012 03:08 PM

I've found API 2 to 5 gives a better POT than including the top ranked API horse. I don't like the Place% as much as Win%, I think it's overdone.

Star 30th August 2012 10:24 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
I've found API 2 to 5 gives a better POT than including the top ranked API horse. I don't like the Place% as much as Win%, I think it's overdone.

I do not have anything to offer, but to acknowledge the above by Barny.

I am having no luck with any of the filters I use, infact they all appear to be a winner in a lay system.

eg. A horse at Mornington today was the only qualifier in the race. Yep, you guessed it. It was gone six hundred metres from home and was tailed off at the finish.

Star

Shaun 31st August 2012 04:33 AM

All form is suspect this time of year.

Bhagwan 31st August 2012 08:40 AM

I have found that its not a bad idea to ignore the Top ranked API because it always seems to struggle just to break even & is usually very lowly priced.

darkydog2002 31st August 2012 09:57 AM

In the latest Propun Newsletter there is a API system that might interest.

Cheers

Vortech 31st August 2012 11:40 AM

From Bet Selector

The best POT for Win% is between 61 to 70%. Around a 7% loss

The best POT for Place% is between 81 to 90%. 9% loss

darkydog2002 31st August 2012 03:34 PM

Vortech,
A good base.
Thank you.

Barny 31st August 2012 03:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
From Bet Selector

The best POT for Win% is between 61 to 70%. Around a 7% loss

The best POT for Place% is between 81 to 90%. 9% loss

I get 14.06% LOT for between 60 and 70% Win S/R.

I recently tested a system posted on here that claimed a 155% POT ..... I got a 20.16% LOT. I think some databases just like handing out good news !!!!!


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