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-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Interesting statistics....! (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19157)

Chrome Prince 7th August 2009 01:31 PM
The other one has the capability to have non-metro meets, but for the comparison, both databases had exactly the same meetings.

schmucta80 7th August 2009 02:23 PM
I have seen those 7 day stats before, but have never seen the stats when all 2nd and 3rd up horses are taken out of the equation. I would harness a guess and say it would dramatically improve the POT.

Also distances staying the same or maybe a little longer, rather than coming back in distance, I would guess the same for this.

And maybe a 20 percent or more win strike rate might also weed out a few fluke runs from 7 days before.

Shaun 7th August 2009 02:23 PM
Thanks for the tip, one day you are going to have to write a good helpfile for your DB

Shaun 7th August 2009 03:04 PM
<8
LS 1
<$10
>20%
0...1000 dist var
Sel 1061
Wins 279
SR 26.30%
Return 975.10
P.O.T -8.10%

The thing to remember is if you add to many filters you are going to filter out all selections, these are metro stats as said before but i think it a good indication

Shaun 7th August 2009 03:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun

Days <8
Price <$4
Lengths <1
Age 3...6
Sel 1475
Wins 588
SR 39.86%
Return 1611.30
P.O.T 9.24%

Chrome did you see these, the thing i liked was it had a system viability of 35 what is the highest you have come up with for viability

schmucta80 7th August 2009 05:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
<8
LS 1
<$10
>20%
0...1000 dist var
Sel 1061
Wins 279
SR 26.30%
Return 975.10
P.O.T -8.10%

The thing to remember is if you add to many filters you are going to filter out all selections, these are metro stats as said before but i think it a good indication

Thanks for the stats Shaun, what is the 0...1000 dist var filter?

Shaun 7th August 2009 05:37 PM
It means distance change from last start 0 to 1000m

schmucta80 7th August 2009 05:48 PM
Gee you really can do a heap with it can't you. Thanks once again Shaun and others who have run the filters through

Chrome Prince 7th August 2009 06:25 PM
Actually the POT of that has dropped slightly recently, but still in profit.

Try eliminating fillies and mares...

40.43% S/R
12.00% Win POT
0.65% Place POT

Vortech 12th March 2013 08:01 AM
Shaun - Was this tested only on Metro tracks?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Those systems do exist but we need to change the direction, i used to have a system of looking for horses with good form that were down 5kg or more in weight and used to get regular 20/1+ winners and atleast a 50/1 winner once a month but with weight changes and class changes these days to races you can't realy find these horses.

There was a good thread on here about looking for 20/1 shots that i followed for awhile but after 100+ losing streak it was stretching the budget a bit

here is a small adjustment to the system i just posted.

<8 Days Break
<$3
<1 Length
3...6 yo
Sel 709
Wins 351
SR 49.51%
Return 796.80
P.O.T 12.38%


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