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-   -   Lay Don Scott's Outsiders (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=25652)

michaelg 1st December 2012 11:54 AM

Lay Don Scott's Outsiders
 
The rules I'm using:

1) $100-plus in D.S. market.
2) Didn't win at last start.
3) Not resuming at this or previous start.
4) Minimum of two career starts.
5) Placed 6th or worse at last start.

Today's selections:

Warwick Farm
3/1
5/9
6/1, 12
8/10

Caulfield
2/7
3/4
7/5

Eagle Farm
2/4
3/11
4/10
6/6, 10
7/10, 18

Morphetville
2/7
5/10
8/11, 13, 14

Hawkesbury
1/1
2/3
4/11
6/5

Gunnedah
1/4
3/9, 10, 11
4/10, 12
5/6, 10
6/1, 9, 11, 12, 13
7/8, 14

Wagga
1/8, 11, 12
3/6, 7, 11
4/4, 11
5/1, 11 13, 15
6/12, 13

Gold Coast
3/4
6/4, 5
7/6, 9, 10
8/5, 7

Toowoomba
1/1, 5
2/7, 8, 9
6/4, 5
7/3, 6

Cranbourne
2/8
5/7

Ascot
2/2, 3, 5, 7
4/3, 9
5/7, 10
7/10/12
8/7, 9.

There's quite a few selections at single prices in the Tele market.

michaelg 1st December 2012 08:47 PM

Not a bad day - there were 73 smiles from the 74 selections for a profit of $47.58.

michaelg 2nd December 2012 10:43 AM

Today's selections:

Hobart
1/5, 15
2/4, 11, 14, 15
4/6
5/7
7/10, 12

Geraldton
1/7, 8, 10
2/5,15
3/2
4/2, 4, 6
5/2, 6, 9
6/1
7/5

Kembla
2/13
3/16, 17
4/4, 20
5/11
6/4, 6, 8, 16
7/11
8/10

Murray Bridge
1/5
3/1, 11
4/2, 10
5/5, 6
6/1
7/4, 8, 10, 11, 12
8/4, 6, 7, 14

Sun Coast
2/2, 3
4/5, 16
5/2
7/11
8/12

Queanbeyan
1/6
2/6, 7
4/11
5/4, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13 ,14
6/6, 11
7/2, 11

Swan Hill
1/7
4/2, 6, 10, 11
6/4, 7, 9, 12, 14
7/2, 9 14, 15

Wodonga
2/9
3/7
4/2, 3, 6, 7, 8
5/9
6/1, 3, 8
7/1, 12
8/10

The Ocho 2nd December 2012 11:10 AM

Congrats michaelg. There's a heck of a lot of selections there. I hope it goes well for you.

michaelg 3rd December 2012 06:27 AM

Thanks, T.O.

Yesterday was a bad day, there were two accidents for a loss of about $45. However the method is still $25 in profit.

Over the past four days there's been four accidents. Two of them were horses that ran sixth at their last start, so from today the new filter is that it must have run seventh or worse at last start. And yesterday Swan Hill 6/7 showed in the Tele that it was not resuming from a spell yet it did so in the Unitab ratings, so also from today I'll look at Unitab when determining the "spell" factor.

If I had applied these filters from commencement then the profit would have been close to $80.

michaelg 3rd December 2012 11:36 AM

Todays selections:

Taree
2/2
3/4
4/1, 2, 4, 10
6/5, 11
7/2, 6, 10
8/6, 8, 11

Ararat
1/1, 2
2/2, 5, 7, 9, 12
3/16
4/7, 9, 12
6/8
7/4, 9, 11, 15

I've tightened one of the rules so that the selection must have finished seventh or worse at it's lat start. To compromise, I've relaxed two rules - the selection may have had a minimum of only one career start and the selection may also have resumed from a spell at it's previous start, even though I'll be monitoring them.

Surprisingly quite a few of today's selections are high in Unitab's ratings, Taree 8/6 has 100 Unitab points.

michaelg 3rd December 2012 06:48 PM

Not a bad day using the new rules. From the 30 selections there were 30 smiles for a profit of $30.93. The liability is no longer $30 but $33 which is more convenient to type especially when there are many selections.

michaelg 4th December 2012 09:44 AM

Today's selections are:

Sale
2/2
3/5
4/2, 5
5/1, 3, 10
6/7, 9
8/6, 10

Cessnock
1/10, 15
3/5
4/5, 11, 16
5/5
6/2, 12
7/11

Lismore
2/5, 6, 7, 9, 10
3/2, 3, 12, 15, 18
4/7, 8, 10
5/12
6/9
7/13, 14, 15

Townsville
2/5
3/4, 15
6/7

michaelg 4th December 2012 04:21 PM

Correction - Sale 8/10 is not a selection because it ran third at it's last start.

michaelg 4th December 2012 04:54 PM

I'm glad I realised Sale 8/10 was not a selection - it won.

Today there was 41 selections for 41 smiles for a profit of $39.77


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