OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Try This one (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=16891)

crash 17th November 2007 06:57 PM

Try This one
 
1. No maidens, hurdles, stakes, Cups, Group, Fillies or mixed Fillies and Mares races.
2. 1000m to 2240m on good or dead tracks.
3. 3 to 5yr. olds who are 3rd or 4th up only
4. 7 to 21 days since last spell
5. 20% and above win SR
6. Selection is the horse with the top AE that passes the above rules.
7. Bet win only preferably if 9/1 or less.
----------------------------------
ASCOT Sat. 27th Oct.
1/4 unp
2/5 DANTE'S DASH 4.50w 1.60p
4/4 GUYNO 2.60w 1.50p
5/2 MY TIME 7.80w 1.80p
7/7 CANNY JACK 1.60p
9/7 EL PRESIDENTE 2.00w 1.20p
Win o/l 5 R 16.90 P 11.90
Place o/l 5 R 7.70 P 2.70
------------------------------------
MORPHETTVILLE
3/1 SAVLATE 2.40 p
4/4 MCFLY 3.30w 2.00p
5/5 BEAUTY SCHOOL 2.40w 1.80p
6/4 ORME 2.40 p
7/10 PICK THE INDIAN 6.10w 2.30p
8/7 unp
Win o/l 6 R 11.80 P 5.80
Place o/l 6 R 8.50 P 2.50
--------------------------
Rocky
3/3 unp
5/1 MASSIAH 2.90w 1.80p
7/1 unp
8/5 CALL SECURITY 2.60p
Win o/l 3 R 2.90 Loss 0.10
Place o/l 3 R 4.40 P 1.40
--------------------------------------
Sale Sund. 28th
5/2 Elkedra 1.50p
6/5 Street Parade 2.10p
9/5 Abeauty unp
Win o/l 3 R 0.0 Loss 3
Place o/l 3 R 3.60 P 0.60
-------------------------------
WARRACKNABEAL
7/4 Bolle 2.00w 1.40p
Win o/l 1 R 2.0 P 1
Place o/l 1 R 1.40 P 0.40
-------------------------------
benalla
6/2 Slick Nick 2.20w 1.50p
Win o/l 1 R 2.20 P 1.20
Place o/l 1 R 1.50 P 0.50
-------------------------------
WERRIBEE CUP Day 31 Oct.
3/7 Greatwall Of China 1.80p
4/2 Gee Up unp
5/2 Brave World unp
6/2 Speak Of The Devil unp
9/3 Jest For Fun 2.10p
BALAKLAVA
8/1 Sea Of Millais 2.00p
Win o/l 6 R 0.0 Loss 6
Place o/l 6 R 5.90 Loss 0.10
-------------------------------------------------------
Ascot
9/3 unp
Win o/l 1 R 0 L 1
Place o/l 1 R 0 L 1
------------------------------------------------------
Seymour
7/1 Secret Tunnel 7.20w 2.10p
Win o/l 1 R 7.20 P 6.20
Place o/l 1 R 2.10 P 1.10
-------------------------------------------------------
Ascot [Sat. Nov. 3]
4/1 1.90p
6/1 unp
7/2 3.90w 1.50p
8/5 1.30p
Win o/l 4 R 3.90 L 0.10
Place o/l 4 R 4.70 P 0.70
------------------------------------
Sat. MORPHETTVILLE
5/5 unp.
Win o/l 1 R 0 Loss 1
Place o/l 1 R 0 Loss 1
------------------------------------
BENDIGO Wed. 14
4/7 Camp Dawn 2.50p
5/5 Kioni 1.70p
8/2 CAPTIOUS 2.80w 1.40p
9/6 Tereschenko unp
BALAKLAVA
r7/2 Wonsok $1.80w P 1.10p
Win o/l 5 R 4.60 L 0.40
Place o/l 5 R 6.70 P 1.70
---------------------------------------
Win o/l 37 R 51.5 P 14.5
Place o/l 37 R 45.1 P 8.1
Total o/l 74 R 96.6 P 22.6
---------------------------------------
MOONEE VALLEY Fri night.
2/2 x
4/6 x
6/6 1.80p
7/2 2.00p
8/1 x
ROCKHAMPTON
3/2 x
4/1 1.50p
6/1 1.30p
-----------------------------------
SANDOWN-LAKESIDE Sat. 17
3/1 x
4/3 x
CHELTENHAM PARK
5/2 3.00w 1.30p
6/4 5.40w 2.40p
7/3 x
MORNINGTON
8/6 3.30w 1.70p
TOWNSVILLE
5/7 1.70p
--------------------------------

Ade 17th November 2007 07:33 PM

What is AE?

DR RON 17th November 2007 10:16 PM

AE=Average Earnings

crash 18th November 2007 07:05 AM

The system works well with 3 to 5yr. olds who are 3rd to 5th up, but I changed it to 3rd to 4th up as it's easier to pick the selections [most formguides don't show last 5 starts].

A certain amount of common sense is needed when selecting top AE after the other rules have been satisfied. There is no point ending up with a horse with the 7th highest AE because the first 6 highest didn't fit the other rules.
If I can't find a selection by the 3rd or 4th [depending on field size] highest AE that fits the rules, I ignore the race.

4. 7 to 21 days since last spell [should read last start].
Last rule should read: 'Bet only if less than $10 SP'.

Also, I wouldn't advise using this system [or any other for that matter] in NSW or tracks in southern QLD for at least 2mths. until horse fitness levels get back to normal cycle.

crash 18th November 2007 08:21 AM

Sund. 18

ARARAT
r4/5 [5th up]
r6/3
r8/6
r9/4
STRATHALBYN
6/4
YARRA GLEN
5/9
7/11
BUNBURY
7/6
---------------------------------

crash 18th November 2007 05:44 PM

Sund. 18

ARARAT
r4/5 [5th up] x
r6/3 2.50p
r8/6 [odds over $10, so no bet]
r9/4 scr.
STRATHALBYN
6/4 x
YARRA GLEN
5/9 x
7/11 scr.
BUNBURY
7/6 [odds over $10, no bet]

So only 3 bets for a losing day.

Mr Quaddie 18th November 2007 05:55 PM

What about Shanghai Pete in Tasmania race 7? I backed that too cause I thought it fitted the criteria. Did I misread the criteria?

crash 19th November 2007 07:12 AM

I failed to look at Tas. so you got the rules right.
SHANGHAI PETE 17.60w 4.30p The system does throw up some long-shots, but to keep my number of bets down I don't back double figure odds. It's a personal thing really as I have no long term data to decide a definite odds range to follow.

The System is my own creation and the selection in this thread are all there is so far. I have no idea how the system will hold up. Anyway, I hope you had a win in Tas!

Mr Quaddie 22nd November 2007 05:47 PM

Any more tips crash?

crash 22nd November 2007 06:02 PM

I haven't been following it because of the weather.


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:01 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.