Dutching: To Win or to Return.....
 

Hi guys,
I was having a think over backing two or more horses in a race and the most profitable way to 'Dutch' them.
The best way I can explain it is with an example -

Given two horses: (A) @ 2.50 and (B) @ 5.00 with a race target of $100.00 -

To Return $100.00: (A) $40.00 @ 2.50 = Return $100.00, (B) $20.00 @ 5.00 = Return $100.00.
Result: Outlay = $60.00; (A) Win $40.00, (B) Win $40.00 or Loss $60.00.

To Win* $100.00: (A) $67.00 @ 2.50 = Return $167.50, (B) $25.00 @ 5.00 = Return $125.00.
Result: Outlay = $92.00; (A) Win $75.50, (B) Win $33.00 or Loss $92.00.

I know the result is skewed to the shorties but is that a bad thing given that shorties salute more often? I also know that different price ranges will alter the outcome but...... ???

What are your thoughts?

Den

* I know it's not actually 'Dutching' but could find no other term to fit :)

There are 3 known Dutching techniques.

Bet to price.
(Your first example)
Price is divided into set take out amount.
The outlays & profits vary.

Bet to set profit.
The outlays vary but profit stays the same.

Bet to fixed outlay.
The outlay stays the same but profit varies.

One can Google free Dutching programs to do this for you.
Such as Ozracetools.


Another approach is , 60/40 Split.
60% on the shorter price & 40% on the longer price.
This can be good in such that not too much is put on the really short priced runners.
One tends to make more profit with this approach when the longer price gets up.
The min price to break even is $1.67

60/40 Example
Fixed 10.00 outlay.
1.66 x 6.00 = Ret 10.20 = .20 Prof.
6.50 x 4.00 = Ret 26.00 = 16.00 Prof.