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-   -   Please help (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23110)

Vortech 17th December 2011 09:07 PM

Please help
 
Currently I'm using a variety of systems through Bet Selector, and did a lot of testing right through from 1st Jan 2008 to 31st Dec 2010 (3yrs). The system were producing around 35% SR and 40% POT.

From Jan 11 I starting putting my systems to use with real dollars and it continue for the next 11 months.

However Dec 11 to date has seen for me 27 selections for only 7 winners. Today (Saturday) I had 9 selections, 0 winners. I have a loss of 36.7% for the month.

Do I ride this out or investigate the systems letting me down? When Zippy broke his leg in Adelaide it was the icing on the cake.

Happy to share my rules through email for advice

Thanks

domenic 17th December 2011 10:06 PM

Vortech,

Could be just one of those runs, hard to tell without specifics. I can test a lot further back than 2008 with Bet Selector if you wish, let me know,
sema4rat at hotmail dot com.
A few minor changes to the ratings have also taken place.

Cheers, Domenic.

Vortech 17th December 2011 10:12 PM

Thanks for that. I'll send the rules through.

Bhagwan 18th December 2011 01:56 AM

I would halve my bets or paper bet only until you see 2 winners get up then start again.

All systems go through a tough patch sooner or later.

The question is what should one be doing while all this chaos is happening around us.

You do know that horse would have been alive today if your money was not on it, don't you.

I found stopping once 12 outs in a row bites me.

When one gets up , then start again.

So if there is a losing run of say 23 outs in a row , then we are on only 12 of them.

I have found that this works well for me.
Others may disagree.

mattio 18th December 2011 02:19 AM

I currently run about 20 different systems through Bet Selector, I'd be happy to have a look at your system if you like. mat at sportofkings dot com dot au.

Vortech 18th December 2011 05:50 AM

Thanks for the replies.
Mattio I'm just needing to test the systems back to 2001.
I use around 30 systems.

norisk 18th December 2011 06:48 AM

Dont know if others will agree, but I have often found December to be a real 'feral' month. By that I mean otherwise reliable methods can wildly fluctuate, or fail altogether.

How knows why, but I suspect it is to do with the winding down somewhat of the industry leading into Xmas Holidays resulting in an across the board drop in the quality of racing.

Not a bad idea to take a break early December to early January, punters need a spell now & then too;)

domenic 18th December 2011 07:47 AM

Vortech, will test and let you know. I do not bother with HK form so those systems won't be tested.

Cheers

Vortech 18th December 2011 07:59 AM

Thanks domenic.
Let me know of your thoughts. Eg. Too many rules, limited selections or too many systems. Am I aiming too high with POT?

enjay 18th December 2011 09:56 AM

Hi Vortech.

I can help with form back to 2000. I run a number of system that have their ups and downs. Can offer you some of mine if you wish. I can also test all venues except NZ and HK. Quite happy to help with advice. Contact sabu at northnet dot com dot au

Cheers
Norm


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