Last start win system
 

Everyone here , hands up , who have had a shot at last start
winners systems. Myself included , have tried several times , and
come up with diddly sqwat. But , try , try again , i am attempting
probably another failed attempt , but i think this can work.
Taken some old favourite rules and then added some of my own.
Seems not to work in SA (heaven nows why?) but some good results
from other states only over 3 weeks.

LSW System.
Rule 1

Every horse in the race must have had 3 starts or more.

Rule 2

Must be a minimum of 8 runners in the race after scratchings.

Rule 3

Tick every runner that has won last start. All other horses are eliminated.
If no LSW eliminate race.

Rule 4

The horse for selection will be the one with less days since last start. If 2 or
more are equal lowest , than eliminate race.

Rule 5

The selection only remains active if ....................

This is where i am testing , Rule 5. This is the final rule , and the most
important. Has been positive over only 3 weeks (except south oz???)
but will continue to seek results and post when i can . (Time is evil)

Anyone that can come up with rule 5 on their own can make this system
work , but let me know if you do , LOL.

I once was told - What goes around , comes around. But if you go
round without sharing , your wallet may get big , but so to your belly.

2 rules only.
1. LSW
2. DS rating = 1.

About break even.
Enjoy :-)

Hi Axledog,

This has returned a POT% of 35.2% since 26th Nov 2011 but if you delete SA the POT% increases to 42.9%. I agree with you SA doesn't seem to work as well as the other states although it is only 2.6 units down up to last weekend.

• Saturdays and Public Holidays only
• >= 7 starts but < 30 starts
• Win % >= 20%
• Days Since Last Start <= 21 days
• Prepost >=$2.00 but < $10.00
• Unitab rating >= 94

Results (All)

262 Bets

66 winners

25.2% win S/R

Bank +92.15 units

POT% 35.2%


Results (without SA)

217 Bets

56 winners

25.8% win S/R

Bank +93.15 units

POT% 42.9%

If you delete any Slow or Heavy tracks (and no SA meetings)


Bets 167

47 winners

28.1% win S/R

Bank +94.55 units

POT% 56.6%

It is possible to have a winning system on last start winners but you need to whittle away the deadwood and concentrate on improving horses that are fit, consistent and favoured by the market.

How long before we see this "published" somewhere?

Hi Try Try Again,

Does the selection criteria below start with a last start winner before applying the other rules?

The Schmile

Hi The Schmile,

Yes, sorry I didn't list that rule because Axledog was talking about last start winners systems.

The system has its ups and downs but overall it has made a decent profit and the profit is still on an upwards spiral.

Cheers mate.

Hope you back a winner or ten tomorrow!

The Schmile

Hi TheSchmile,

How can I not with all these great systems!!

Hope you have a blinder tomorrow as well!

Try Try Again

Try Try again,

Any chance you could short list the selections for tomorrow using this system(if any?) and post it here.. code name: "The 7-30 Report"


LG

Nice piece of research Try Try.

Well done.

I've been testing a paper system with LS Winner with the following rules

1. LSW
2. Starting Price Rank - 1
3. Runs this prep = 0
3. 33% Win (Distance / Going)
4. Min Price $3.00

Saturday Only

Anyone able to test?