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Search: Posts Made By: walkermac
Forum: General Topics 7th November 2020, 10:10 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
A good round to finish up on. I had estimated...

A good round to finish up on. I had estimated 164pts, without bonuses, but Mugatoo didn't make it to the start line. I predicted a fair drop in output as a result, down to 152pts, but smashed out a...
Forum: General Topics 7th November 2020, 12:56 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
On to the final round! Very few $50k horses...

On to the final round!

Very few $50k horses in play this weekend, and the two that are were already selected in my stable. I had to re-run solver to allow for selecting a more expensive...
Forum: General Topics 5th November 2020, 09:23 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
Estimated 141, ended with 161; adding the captain...

Estimated 141, ended with 161; adding the captain and jockey scores took me up to to 194pts. Star performers were Personal (+$50k), Written Beauty (+$25k) and Ancestry. November Dreaming, Tinandali...
Forum: General Topics 4th November 2020, 11:56 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
This was an easy round to pick the team: I had...

This was an easy round to pick the team: I had over $400k left over in the salary cap! Consequently both my actual stable and my perfectly played team would have the same selections. I wonder if...
Forum: General Topics 3rd November 2020, 11:10 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
What a shocker of a round! Looks like I was in...

What a shocker of a round! Looks like I was in good company though as I only lost 207 spots. Predicted 132 points and got 118. With bonuses for captain and jockey my score totalled 139. 238 was...
Forum: Horse Racing 3rd November 2020, 03:20 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
King Leogrance was scratched this morning and...

King Leogrance was scratched this morning and Anthony Van Dyck broke down during the race, being euthanised afterwards.


<table style="border-collapse: collapse;"...
Forum: General Topics 3rd November 2020, 12:41 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
Supercoach closes pretty early tomorrow, so...

Supercoach closes pretty early tomorrow, so hopefully that catches a few out! ;) Not sure my modelling will go all that well this round. I don't have enough data on 24-horse fields.

As...
Forum: Horse Racing 2nd November 2020, 02:34 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Summarising: <table...

Summarising:

<table style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="1"><tbody><tr><td>#1</td><td>5</td><td>SIR DRAGONET (IRE) </td><td>$8</td></tr> <tr><td>#2</td><td>1</td><td>ANTHONY VAN DYCK (IRE)...
Forum: Horse Racing 2nd November 2020, 02:33 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Here's my view (Part II): 13 - Surprise...

Here's my view (Part II):


13 - Surprise Baby
Eye-catching run in last year's Cup: was totally unsuited by the pace but rocketed home from near last to finish inside 1 length. The wide ...
Forum: Horse Racing 2nd November 2020, 02:32 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Here's my view (Part I): 1 - Anthony Van...

Here's my view (Part I):


1 - Anthony Van Dyck
26 runners sired by Galileo progeny with 0 wins. 2 seconds and 2 thirds, so I'm not sure there's *too* much in that, but none of those...
Forum: General Topics 31st October 2020, 08:20 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
Performed a little below par today. The...

Performed a little below par today. The expectation was a score of 200 (prior to double captain and jockey points) and I only tallied up 180. With the bonuses, it came to a stable total of 218pts. ...
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 07:19 PM
Replies: 192
Views: 18,275
Posted By walkermac
No worries; would have felt very undeserving if...

No worries; would have felt very undeserving if I'd somehow lucked my way through. Cheers for running the comp, and best of luck to those going on :)
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 05:16 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Here are the results of "the system". ...

Here are the results of "the system". NB - price movements will have to be monitored up until racetime to be fully accurate. Top two runs seem to do pretty well. Those with a 17 Stamina figure are...
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 05:10 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Barrier draw: <table...

Barrier draw:


<table style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="1"><tbody><tr><td>Horse</td><td>Barrier</td><td>Weight</td></tr> <tr><td>PRINCE OF ARRAN (GB)</td><td>1</td><td>54.5kg</td></tr>...
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 04:52 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Here is the average extra distance each barrier...

Here is the average extra distance each barrier runs (based on the last 3 years since information has been publicly available):

https://i.postimg.cc/XYRWG0RL/Updated-Barriers.png




I...
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 04:45 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
I've mentioned this Cup System over the last few...

I've mentioned this Cup System over the last few years and it picked last year's winner. It's "Aspro's Melbourne Cup System", presumably soon to be posted by Racing & Sports:

Rule 1 - List any...
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 04:14 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Results from the Hotham Stakes today. The winner...

Results from the Hotham Stakes today. The winner is into the Melbourne Cup on Tuesday.


2500m Good4 HOTHAM HCP Group 3 $201,300 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPjaXw5cofc)

...
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 12:09 PM
Replies: 192
Views: 18,275
Posted By walkermac
WIN $20 Ascot R6 H4 Niccovi E/W $10 Rosehill...

WIN $20
Ascot R6 H4 Niccovi

E/W $10
Rosehill R6 H2 Fun Fact
Flemington R8 H9 Rock
Pukekohe Park R6 H9 Pullyoursocksup

Good luck kiwi.
Forum: Horse Racing 31st October 2020, 09:05 AM
Replies: 192
Views: 18,275
Posted By walkermac
Haven't forgotten; I'm in! ...but my tips will...

Haven't forgotten; I'm in! ...but my tips will be a while yet
Forum: General Topics 31st October 2020, 01:04 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
Wait a second.... I made two mistakes. ...

Wait a second....

I made two mistakes. Firstly, Odeum should have been my captain. Secondly, I didn't sort a column before using Solver, which meant that it had trouble finding the optimal...
Forum: General Topics 31st October 2020, 12:12 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 4,528
Posted By walkermac
Make or break week. There are 9-10 less races in...

Make or break week. There are 9-10 less races in each of the three remaining rounds after this one. You'd imagine that stables will become even more similar, given the limited number of runners on...
Forum: Horse Racing 28th October 2020, 11:58 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Results from today. Looks like Zebrowski will...

Results from today. Looks like Zebrowski will now need a couple to drop out to get a start. The remainder look like they've done their dash.


2400m Good4 BDGO CUP Group 3 $400,000

...
Forum: Horse Racing 28th October 2020, 08:59 AM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Cup nominees racing today: Bendigo - Race 7...

Cup nominees racing today:

Bendigo - Race 7 - 4:00PM Apiam Bendigo Cup (2400 METRES)

<table><tbody><tr><td>ZEBROWSKI (NZ) </td><td>25</td><td>$5.50</td></tr> <tr><td>HAKY (IRE)...
Forum: Horse Racing 26th October 2020, 10:52 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Couldn't help myself: <h2>Who has...

Couldn't help myself:


<h2>Who has the lucky number 17?</h2>


Repeat thread readers (firstly: apologies for how lame it's been this year) would know about the number 17 factor. About...
Forum: Horse Racing 26th October 2020, 02:16 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 15,725
Posted By walkermac
Third acceptances are in and there are a couple...

Third acceptances are in and there are a couple of surprises: three of the top 24 dropped out of the running.




Mirage Dancer (formerly 13th) was the highest of these. After taking out the...
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