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Search: Posts Made By: Tony
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 2nd June 2005, 11:39 PM
Replies: 39
POT
Views: 12,495
Posted By Tony
Nanook, your 1 winner in 4 gets you 108 back for...

Nanook,
your 1 winner in 4 gets you 108 back for every 100 outlayed. So 25 on each with one winner means you got an average bet of 83/25 about the winner, or odds of about 4.33 in the new or a bit...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 11th November 2004, 06:34 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 3,345
Posted By Tony
Does anyone know of a way of getting more (older)...

Does anyone know of a way of getting more (older) market data into the program than is available on Neale's site?
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 23rd August 2004, 09:16 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 4,419
Posted By Tony
Using Stebbo's additional rules, going back to...

Using Stebbo's additional rules, going back to Jan 99, my data being all Metrop Saturdays and some Wednesdays but little other provincial stuff, resulted in:

22% S/R (54/244) and 41% pot

The 3...
Forum: Horse Racing 18th June 2004, 08:20 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 4,596
Posted By Tony
And thank you too, Paddy.

And thank you too, Paddy.
Forum: Horse Racing 18th June 2004, 01:03 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 4,596
Posted By Tony
Much obliged, Zorro.

Much obliged, Zorro.
Forum: Horse Racing 18th June 2004, 08:54 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 4,596
Posted By Tony
Would someone be kind enough to direct me to an...

Would someone be kind enough to direct me to an index of sires' progeny wet track performance or post a quick summary,
ie nobs, indifferent or disadvantaged.

Something similar re preferred distance...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 8th May 2004, 07:06 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3,597
Posted By Tony
Coffee, alas I only got 36/329 for 51 unit profit...

Coffee, alas I only got 36/329 for 51 unit profit despite two $50+ winners, both inside your timeframe.
This represents 26/275 for 50 odd unit loss outside your scan, perhaps a good example of how...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 27th April 2004, 06:19 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 3,866
Posted By Tony
Dan, I don't think I'll have much more data than...

Dan, I don't think I'll have much more data than you as the market price data available only goes back to July 01 unless I am missing something.

The first system had 11.4% winners (480 bets)for a...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 26th April 2004, 06:46 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 3,866
Posted By Tony
Gidday, Dan. Yes I am looking to lay these on the...

Gidday, Dan. Yes I am looking to lay these on the exchanges although, if you could only consistently ID the things, there are of course a hundred ways to skin the cat.
Laying systems, despite what I...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 22nd April 2004, 08:21 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 3,866
Posted By Tony
A perennial pastime of mine. One I recently ran...

A perennial pastime of mine.
One I recently ran through was:

Top of SP rank
30 or more career starts
Outside the top 4 average prizemoney earners.
Metrop only.

Resulted in 25/177 winners (half the...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 29th March 2004, 09:27 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 4,421
Posted By Tony
Easy, either place the bets on your laptop on the...

Easy, either place the bets on your laptop on the beach outside your condo on Paradise Island or flog the thing in the Sportsman.
Forum: Horse Racing 8th March 2004, 09:37 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 15,601
Posted By Tony
I've long been in the Lonhro sceptic camp, he has...

I've long been in the Lonhro sceptic camp, he has proven very vulnerable when the pressure is really on, however hard to beat here.
Mummify has the class but is a Flemington worry and Lonhro has...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 7th March 2004, 10:07 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 3,843
Posted By Tony
Squirty, I got 101/283 for 52 odd units...

Squirty, I got 101/283 for 52 odd units profit.
However, sensational lately, 17/30 for 31 unit profit and all the remaining 4 years profit in the one $22 winner Doomben referred to.
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 4th March 2004, 05:22 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3,241
Posted By Tony
Sorry, mate, it didn't and I wouldn't have a clue...

Sorry, mate, it didn't and I wouldn't have a clue how to fix it.
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 4th March 2004, 05:21 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3,241
Posted By Tony
Chua, Scott came up with a final kg rating for...

Chua,

Scott came up with a final kg rating for each runner.
The top rated horse was allotted a decimal odds of 1.00 ie expected to win 50% of time, and so on.

The table went:
...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 26th February 2004, 07:22 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Sorry to be a drag but the same result, Chris. If...

Sorry to be a drag but the same result, Chris.
If it works in yours, maybe it is an my options settings??

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Tony on 2004-02-26 22:26 ]</font>
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 26th February 2004, 05:22 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Beats me,OM. I set up the thing with the initial...

Beats me,OM. I set up the thing with the initial nominal bank of 2000 in newly inserted column's cell AW2 and make the formula for the new bank, when AW3 is the first cell in the Win Div column
...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 25th February 2004, 08:34 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Thanks OM. I think you have to put an...

Thanks OM. I think you have to put an "if" qualificatin to cover the fact that a loser is an empty cell, not a zero.
Need a new column with the initial bank eg 2000 in the first cell of a newly...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 24th February 2004, 11:23 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Someone else might be able to oblige? It was an...

Someone else might be able to oblige?
It was an excel formula used in the ppp generated spread sheet to keep a running tab of the bottom line. Need excelspeak for the following plain speak: If Win...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 23rd February 2004, 08:11 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Thanks Chris, I used to generate an equity curve...

Thanks Chris,

I used to generate an equity curve from the excel file ppp system tester provides.
However I lost the relevant formula a couple of computer crashes ago and am excel illiterate. I...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 22nd February 2004, 07:33 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Shades of the old Dark Horse for which I parted...

Shades of the old Dark Horse for which I parted with 50 bucks umpteen years ago.
Not many bets, Adam, but a pretty good result.
High strike rate lends itself to a staking plan?? Are you still using...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 22nd February 2004, 09:04 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
I sincerely wish you their continued success,...

I sincerely wish you their continued success, Chris. However, I can't help musing that, come the inevitable mega run of outs, faith that the thing will come good merely because it happened to in the...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 21st February 2004, 02:37 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tony
Adam, I ran your first system and got 77 winners...

Adam, I ran your first system and got 77 winners from 348 selections at a loss of about 15 units, the winners including one at $33 and another at $19.

The second system I can’t run much further than...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 19th February 2004, 10:30 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 3,523
Posted By Tony
Clarification please, OM. Is that the same as...

Clarification please, OM.
Is that the same as calling the system anything and ticking 1-1 in Predicted Posn Rank, or are you saying the coded name picks out horses who were rated favourite at their...
Forum: Price Predictor Forum 19th February 2004, 06:15 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 8,156
Posted By Tony
This is the system I alluded to above, a heap of...

This is the system I alluded to above, a heap of bets and a marginal profit (more marginal than I had remembered), perhaps could be adapted.

Distance 1200 - 2000
Metrop all days of week
Career...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 73

 
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