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Old 12th December 2005, 10:41 AM
jfc jfc is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
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Quote:
Originally Posted by punter57
Morning all. The reason that very few are "interested" is that these kinds of stats only have relevance IF you were betting every horse in every race.Then you would win more (or lose less) on the favs, in general, on any tote OR with any bookie, as is already well known. This is because the favs are OBVIOUSLY in with some chance while the outsiders are often deliberately sent for practice, to get race fit etc etc but NOT to win (ie you shouldn't bet those ones). The reason JFC is so "tediously" taken to task so often is that (perhaps) he can only see one way to select horses and that he then alienates the other punters by using "provocative" comments like in POST 3, where the "surprise" winners (not to those who bet them!!) are "aka flukes" despite the many times that the same horse OR that horse's trainer pulls off these flukes. Stats can NEVER tell the whole story and my new thread will expand on this theme; ie why stats are a waste of time for "serious" punters (in horseracing). Cheers....... until soon.


Or perhaps I excluded the 17 $60+ results because I didn't want to risk distorting the conclusions through fluke premiums.

I note the 6/11/2005 BATHURST R4 won by Royal Dane which paid $92.25 (-2%) for me versus $30.20 in NSW.

As I've mentioned before if my numbers pick something I don't get put off by bolter prices.

Anyway I look forward to your polemic on statistics, here in this sanctuary where too much controversy is never enough.
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