4th April 2006, 07:29 AM
|
Suspended.
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by manygeese
Doesn't really sound like you form a book, more just back your selection when you find acceptable odds for it. Which is not the Don Scott approach to value.
|
There were no TAB's around when Don Scott was punting and bookies, due to the crowds and being in their heyday, they could afford to run a tighter book [better odds]. Things have changed a great deal since Don Scott. Look at the amount of races today and the abundance of rubbish races among them. Also look at the amount of Maidens and 1000m races [1000m races used to be rare]. Both difficult races to win on. Maidens due partly to poor prices and 1000m races because there is no recovery room after a poorish jump. Look also at the very small amount of Welters and 4yr. old and up races around [easy to win on]. It's a new ball game nowadays with some advantages but a heck of a lot more disadvantages that weren't around in Don Scott's time.
I make up a list of prospective bets and priceline them or price them just from handicapping the race. The bigger the overs the bigger my bet. I usually have 1 to 3 selections in the races I've targeted that I think could win [depends on no of runners in a race]. The selection offering the over is my bet. If there are 2 I'll back the better over. Often [during the week] I have days I don't find a bet and I will also back a runner blind if it isn't obviously going to be fav. when I can't be around to watch the prices. I have my good years, and some bad years like most of us I guess.
Finding 3 or 4 bets across 3 meetings on Sat. is about average but sometimes nothing at all. I indulge in fun bets only on the big stakes races and cups. There is just too many possibilities in those races [look what happened it Syd. last Sat. Where was Hotel Grand ?].
Party,
Top fluc. as overs ? Haven't really thought about it, but I guess it's as close to overs as you'll get. A lot will be and most of those will probably not be starting fav. and a few won't be that will be starting fav. I suppose.
|