Well I think things are looking interesting here. The "11.00 or less" lay selections continue to turn a profit, and while 11.00 may not be quite the right cut-off spot we'll continue with these and see what happens. Laying all the selections (nobody would do this anyway) is a clear loser and after today I won't summarise this group.

But... look at the selections above 11.00. We're getting some nice winners in this price range. This looks pretty good so I've included a summary of where we'd be if we had backed all the selections in this range, and I'll continue doing this in future weeks. I'll move to a new thread for next Saturday as we're not dealing just with lay's anymore. Prices from the B.A.T.

BLMT03-11 Trustadane 30.00 ... LOST +1.00
BLMT06-06 Star Laser 16.00 ... LOST +1.00
BLMT07-10 Doyoudare 17.00 ... WON -17.00
BLMT08-06 Yeah Yeah 18.50 ... LOST +1.00
BLMT08-09 Boy Canny Go 9.80 ... LOST +1.00
BRAT05-05 Decamp 8.80 ... LOST +1.00
BRAT07-02 Saliente 6.60 ... LOST +1.00
BRAT07-11 Golden Engagement 8.80 ... LOST +1.00
GAWL06-15 Just A Giggle 27.00 ... WON -27.00
GAWL08-13 Warwick's Brother 38.00 ... LOST +1.00
GCST02-01 Vitesse Dane 4.10 ... LOST +1.00
GCST06-03 King Rex 22.00 ... LOST +1.00
GCST07-12 Gaze 16.00 ... LOST +1.00
IPSW06-05 Darry 14.00 ... LOST +1.00
IPSW07-05 Snow Destiny 15.00 ... WON -14.00
IPSW08-15 Lightning Brown 48.00 ... LOST +1.00
K_GR06-06 Gunna Happen 6.60 ... LOST +1.00
K_GR07-01 Geiger Spirit 12.50 ... LOST +1.00
K_GR07-02 Double Dip 8.60 ... WON -7.60
K_GR08-02 Jet Hawk 5.80 ... LOST +1.00
M_V_06-04 Ghost Party 80.00 ... LOST +1.00
M_V_08-07 Carat Cake 9.60 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL03-03 Scissons 12.50 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL05-06 Lady Gulch 5.10 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL07-05 Rena's Lady 38.00 ... LOST +1.00
RHIL08-12 Junebug 8.40 ... LOST +1.00
TWBA05-08 Ruby's Party 11.50 ... LOST +1.00

===
RESULTS: April 21st - May 5th

Lay All
===
Number of Selections: 116.00
Observed Successes: 103.00
Observed Strike Rate: 88.79%
Expected Successes: 105.21
Expected Strike Rate: 90.70%
Advantage: -2.10%
Success due to luck: 51.46%
Units Profit: -61.10
ROI: -52.67%

Lay 11.00 or less
===
Number of Selections: 53.00
Observed Successes: 47.00
Observed Strike Rate: 88.68%
Expected Successes: 45.62
Expected Strike Rate: 86.08%
Advantage: 3.02%
Success due to luck: 55.00%
Units Profit: +13.40
ROI: +25.28%

Back 11.50 or greater
===
Number of Selections: 63.00
Observed Successes: 7.00
Observed Strike Rate: 11.11%
Expected Successes: 3.41
Expected Strike Rate: 5.41%
Advantage: 105.47%
Success due to luck: 14.97%
Units Profit: +74.50
ROI: +118.25%

__________________
Pixie

"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash