
6th February 2008, 10:38 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
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Who was the most successful rider at Sandown today? I've taken the SuperTAB prices for all the mounts of today's winning riders, converted these to a normalised percentage chance, then combined these to get the riders expected number of winners. Obviously Steven Arnold had a nice day with 2 winners, but how much better was it than the other winning riders? Well quite a bit, in fact he rode 513% more winners than the normalised SuperTAB price of his mounts would suggest. Dean Yendall was the most successful of the riders with a single win, and Cory Brown failed to reach his expected number of winners but only by a little bit.
| Rider | OBS | EXP | ADV | | Arnold, S | 2 | 0.326 | 513% | | Brown, C | 1 | 1.274 | -21% | | Hall, N | 1 | 0.507 | 97% | | Newitt, C | 1 | 0.882 | 13% | | Williams, C | 1 | 0.750 | 33% | | Yendall, D | 1 | 0.324 | 209% |
Naturally one days results mean nothing really but I thought this might be an interesting way of comparing who's "better" than who.
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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