I tend to think that favourites are favourites irrespective of whether it's the 1st or last race. Simply analysing the stats of last race favourites and hoping to devise something useful from that to use as part of a punting armoury is fanciful.

The comment by Placegetter regarding false favourites has merit though. All the desperates put whatever they have left on a shorter priced horse causing it to shorten into favouritism. Often the horse ends up at odds well under its real value and runs accordingly.

Result: another win to the bookies and TAB.

[ This Message was edited by: Privateer on 2002-04-28 17:34 ]