Thread: Pups for Profit
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Old 22nd April 2009, 03:41 PM
schmucta80 schmucta80 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: australia
Posts: 175
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Thanks Sportz, was up until a rough trot last night, but with a bit of luck it could have been alot better.

Moeee, thanks for the interest.

There are not many races that pass by on tv that I don't watch either at the time or after the races have been run, so you could say I have a good knowledge of most dogs running around.

People use speed maps in the gallops to great advantage and I can look at a race field of greyhounds, and do a very similar sort of thing.

I love a greyhound that is of a better class than the field they are meeting, and this would be the only thing that would make me select a greyhound that does not have good early pace. A good dog from a bad box will beat a bad dog from a good box......on most occasions.

I love to back dogs who I think will lead, the one turn tracks I love because they seem to be fairer I think, in the fact that with a longer run to the first turn each dog has more of a chance on it's merits.

But most of all it comes down to times. A dog who can run quick times I have a lot of respect for, and if they look the likely leader around 100m-150m after the start then I want to be on. This s where the speed maps I mentioned earlier help, as I would say on average I am close enough to correct with these maps on say %50 to %60 of the time, and that is very close to my overall winning average.

Then, after all that is said and done, you would be a fool if you did not bet when you could secure value. I dont back all the dogs I select, because some just don't have the value that I expected when I selected them, and I don't mind letting them pass. Case in point, Parra State last night at Ipswich, paying $1.30 and $1.40 on the totes, but I was able to secure $2.10 on Betfair. ALas it got beat, but I will take $2.10 any day about a dog I believe to be a $1.50 or $1.60 chance. Thats where you can make profits.

Form guides, I don't use so much, only the GRV website to look at the fields, as I said I pretty much know each greyhound and most of its statistics.

Just a bit of an insight into how I come about selecting my bets.
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