Hi Axledog,

This has returned a POT% of 35.2% since 26th Nov 2011 but if you delete SA the POT% increases to 42.9%. I agree with you SA doesn't seem to work as well as the other states although it is only 2.6 units down up to last weekend.

• Saturdays and Public Holidays only
• >= 7 starts but < 30 starts
• Win % >= 20%
• Days Since Last Start <= 21 days
• Prepost >=$2.00 but < $10.00
• Unitab rating >= 94

Results (All)

262 Bets

66 winners

25.2% win S/R

Bank +92.15 units

POT% 35.2%


Results (without SA)

217 Bets

56 winners

25.8% win S/R

Bank +93.15 units

POT% 42.9%

If you delete any Slow or Heavy tracks (and no SA meetings)


Bets 167

47 winners

28.1% win S/R

Bank +94.55 units

POT% 56.6%

It is possible to have a winning system on last start winners but you need to whittle away the deadwood and concentrate on improving horses that are fit, consistent and favoured by the market.

How long before we see this "published" somewhere?