
27th January 2013, 07:25 PM
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Suspended
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Star
Here is another maxim I have difficulty with. My query is, how can we quantify what is the true odds of a horse in a race is.
I am firming in my thinking that if on form only two horses should win, but I expect their are at least four others that might, then taking under the odds might well be close to $6 or $7 dollars otherwise we are kidding ourselves.
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So you have 2 horses with equal chances and another 4 with some sort of Chance.
Then you have the possible Unknowns.
I would have your 4 possible upsets at $12
The 2 Main Chances at $3.30
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