Thread: Easy Coin
View Single Post
  #42  
Old 15th April 2013, 10:38 AM
beton beton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Some interesting differences in stats. I wonder if this had anything to do with SOT = GOOD(Melb) vrs DEAD(Syd). In both cases however, a ratings based system trumped the pre-post market, bookies openers and BF SP.

FLEMINGTON
.....W2 W4 W1
PP ..25 38 0
OP ..50 63 38
SP ..63 63 38
RS1 50 88 25
RS2 50 75 50
RS3 38 75 13
RS4 38 75 25
RS5 63 75 25
RS6 75 75 63(5 top pick winners from 8 races)

RANDWICK
.....W2 W4 W1
PP ..78 78 44
OP ..67 78 44
SP ..78 78 33
RS1 78 78 67(6 top pick winners from 9 races)
RS2 33 56 33
RS3 44 56 33
RS4 44 67 11
RS5 44 89 22
RS6 33 56 33

Where;
W4 = % of winners from top 4
W2 = % of winners from top 2
W1 = % of winners from top pick

LG

MY assumption is that in both venues the rating services were the same, raising the issue of track speciality. This is a crucial element in ratings. It is one thing to be good at one state. It is extremely hard to be good at more than one state.
SP is consistent with fav stats. There seems to be an arguement to check the results dutching the top four.
Reply With Quote