
9th July 2004, 10:14 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 759
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Mo, I don't really care if Richmond covers or not. I didn't bet that one since none of my bookies had them that high. +16.5 was the best, where as I needed +17.5 for it to be a bet.
That's the first game I've posted that I haven't bet on though. I would bet it if I could. My system profits over the longterm so that's enough reason to bet it.
Without injury info, coaching changes, motivation etc my system has won 57.5% over nearly 700 picks. That's just using sportTAB spreads. Use a handful of good bookies and that figure will jump to
59-60%. Also remember this is against the spread, where the probabilities of winning each bet is basically a coinflip.
BTW, 57.5% = 10%POT, 59-60% = 13-15%POT.
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