
9th September 2005, 08:21 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
Posts: 292
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Wesmip1,
I'm a little concerned that you have only tested over different time frames,why havent you tested day after day week after week,if i was you i would pick a start date and test continualy from there on in,testing random months days weeks will prove absolutely nothing.
Guitar Jim,
Please explain what it is you are doing in the SYSTEM forum iof you do not believe in systems,if you think you are providing a service and saving all us miserable gamblers from damnation dont bother,i dont need or want saving and i am sure i'm not alone.
You have a very good understanding of maths but unless you understand the important requiremnts each individual system asks of its selections there is absolutely no way you can say things like
"Firstly, a win strike rate of 43% never has, and never will, produce a *permanent* POT of 21%"
or
"There's another serious problem with your results..... it's the high place strike rate. A *genuine and permanent* 43% win strike rate should be accompanied by a lower place strike rate than your 82%"
The place % statement just reeks of a mathematican with no understanding of horses and how individual system rules can impact on the type of animal you end up betting on.
I also have my doubts about these %'s standing up long term but their chance of doing so is totaly dependent on THE SYSTEM RULES and not maths.
I repeat Jim,why do you post in this part of the forum?
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