13th October 2005, 12:35 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 91
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Hi guys
I went 2-1 with picks last week with Seattle outscoring STL and the Jax barely holding on to beat a good Cinci side and losing the unders bet on Ari/Car by .5 when Carolina scored 2 late td’s. Now 7-8.
Notes. St Louis loss at home was only 10th in last 50 games. Miami have lost 9 of their last 10 road games. Fox game at 3 am is NY Giants v Dallas on Monday
Stats wrap (winner in bold)
Tampa Bay – NY Jets. Watched this game and still can’t figure out how the Jets won. TB won the stats and had a huge (71-48) advantage in the total plays and had 2 more t/o’s . According to the stats NY is still a very bad offensive team (212 yds all up) and TB is a very good defense team. Vinny must have had god on his side. The Jets defense is fairly solid.
NO – GB The Packers got 5 t/os and played a very good defensive game. NO looks like they are going to be very hard to pick this year as its going to be hard to figure out where their collective heads are at. GB on offense figures were average for them so not to get carried away as they are still a below average bunch of cheeseheads.
Chi – Cle Cleveland got 2 t/os in the last 3 minutes to salvage a very close game statistically. Chicago’s run defense had another good game and haven’t been blown out yet on pass defense. Their offense had a good running day (176 yards) but their passing offense is very bad averaging only 128 yds per game. Clevland are the opposite in they can move the ball through the air but can’t run. Clevlands defense had their worse day against the run but their best day against the pass (90 yds)
Miami – Buf As a Bills fan I am happy with a win but it really was a loss by Miami. The Dolphins were the better team statistically playing up to their averages and their defense played well against a very very bad Buffalo pass offense (avg 100 yds per game). However 5 t/os and 18 penalties handed the game to Buffalo.
Balt – Det Similar stats to the Miami/Buf game with Baltimore winning the stats (387 to 260) but self destructing giving away 21 penalties and 4 to’s. Baltimore finally got a running game going (159 yds). Their defense reversed itself shutting down Detroits passing (90 yds) but allowing Detroit to run for 169 yards which is about twice as much as their average for the first 3 games. Detroit played average on both sides of the ball with a little better running game but their average is not going to get a lot of wins unless they get lots of help like the Ravens provided.
NE – ATL Both teams ran riot on offense with +400 yards each in a close statistically game. Vick didn’t play which may have provided the 3 point difference. Atlanta had their worst defnsive game, their worst rushing game and their best passing game. NE finally rushed for over 100 yds (141) but continued to play badly on defense.
SEA – STL Both teams passed for over 300 yards in a bit of a shoot out. Close game with Seatle getting 2 t/o’s to make the differnce. Seattle has a good running game (avg 135 yds) and has not allowed a t/o in their last 3 games. STL can pass but has no defense.
Ten – Hou Both teams played up to the mediocre averages. Houston again got sacked 7 times bringing their total to 27 for the year. Both teams are headed for mediocrity this year.
Indy- SF - Indy won their 5th straight but again played below last years numbers on offense. Their defense completely shut down SF’s very bad offense (44 yds passing). Indy gave up their first sack and 3 t/os (only 2 in first 4 games) but the 49’s coughed it up 5 times. Hard to tell exactly where the Colts are but SF are going nowhere. The Monday night game this week against STL might tell us more.
Car – Ari The Panthers got +2 to’s which got them the game as Arizona had most of the ball and put up the better numbers. (Car 56 plays for 330 and Ari 74 for 464). Both teams are having trouble running the ball.
Phi- Dallas The most suprising result of the day as Dallas absolutely shut down the Phil offense and dominated the play. The Cowboys outplayed the Eagles by 456 yds to 129 without any t/os. Philly could only get 6 first downs and 19 yds rushing. Big big came for Dallas against the division leader.
Wash- Denv Another game where the away team dominated the statsbut lost a close one. Denver had another good rushing game but their pass offense was shut down (92 yds) for the 3rd straight game. Washington put up good enough numbers to win especially on yds passing but the fickled finger of fate was not on their side this week.
Cin-Jax Very close game that could have gone either way. The jax got their running game going (181 yds) and got their t/o at the right time. Cinci proved that thier early form is good form and kept their numbers up against a very good defence.
Pit – SD Despite losing my dough, no complaints as the better team got up in the last minute. Close game statistically. The Steelers played up to their numbers while the Chargers were held to 66 yards rushing. Seeing that they averaged 225 in their last 2 efforts that was a big effort by the Steeler defense. But it was a cliff hanger of a game marred by too many penalties and Steelers proved if you have only a tiny distance to go then use “the bus”.
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