14th November 2005, 02:50 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,366
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Hi partypooper,
I know a few pros, not many, but a couple of high rollers.
Each has a vastly different method.
While not divulging exactly what they do, they were prepared to tell me how they do it.
Punter 1
He goes to trackwork, every trial in his home State, knows most of the jockey and trainers by first name and has absolutely no inside information, he just assesses good horses and has selective big bets. Maybe 5 on a weekend.
His POT is very high, because his range is 5/1 to 20/1. But it can be a long time between good collects. His $ return is good because he bets big.
Punter 2
He works on 5 to 10% POT, and his bets are usually under 5/1. He knows nothing about horses really, and wouldn't recognize Gai Waterhouse or John Hawkes if he fell over them. He simply works out the horses likely to win under 5/1 based on statistics. His $ return is small, but he has a lot of smaller bets. (smaller in comparison with Punter 1, huge in comparison with me.)
He is happy to have a regular stream of income from racing, without taking the track home.
I don't think he ever takes odds on, his range is 1/1 to 5/1.
Both would not divulge exactly how they formulate their bets, but were happy to talk to me for quite some time about my theories as well.
Punter 2 ran my theories over his database and was gob smacked.
Needless to say he bought me a few beers, but that was it ;-(
P.S. My theories relate to Geldings, final sectionals and days since last start.
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