I am concerned about betting on the Trans-Tasman series at this point. At the start of a typical Super Rugby season, we usually look at the first 3 or 4 weeks and wait until the ratings have adjusted from the previous year. Of course, each team has already played 8 domestic matches, but we have only had one set of Trans-Tasman matches in over a year. I am seeing really large bookmaker underdog odds offered on some AU teams. If those odds are justified as compared to the current AU ratings, then some AU team ratings should fall and become more accurate relative to the New Zealand teams. There might only be one or two Trans-Tasman weeks left after ratings have adjusted, but we don’t want to make bad bets in haste. I advise being very cautious at this point.

Best wishes,

Ray Stefani