Silver and sand /Mad, point taken, but [quote] I have noticed every now then a horse that is odds on before they jump finishes up at $2 most of the time. Sometimes It's between $2.20 and $2.50
so maybe the average is nearer to $2.35, and needless to say I was presuming that the S/R etc are consistant.

In short I agree with you, in the long term it's much better on the nerves to be betting levels, or at least say 1% of bank never reducing.

I do think Mad is into an area where there are possibilities though, I've never completed any extensive research but have noticed many cases where a nag is QUOTED odds on (Pre-post) and often wins at a greater odds or where the Top Fluc was much better. food for thought!