26th July 2017, 07:16 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,474
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
So 80% sure would equate to 40% chance second pick wins. Bottom line is that the second pick is likely to be 60-70% more likely to win than average long term strike rate which is significant. Let's assume that this scenario is invisible to most punters.
More profitable to back the second pick or do we just lay the first pick?
Cheers LG
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without a doubt you lay the first pick. It covers winning even when the 2nd pick loses and another horse wins. |