I forgot to include an important rule, which will be rule 5 below.

1. The horse is third up from a spell/break of 2 months or more.

2. It has not won either of its first two runs.

3. Its second up run must be no more than 4 weeks after its first up run and its third up run must be no more than 4 weeks after its second up run.

4. Its second up run must also have a higher weight rating than its first up run. In most cases this is obvious. Eg. the horse was beaten 5 lengths first up and then in similar class was beaten just by one length second up.

5.The second up run must be at a City meeting.

6. The horse must be beaten by no more than 2 lengths second up.

That's it.

Again, when we operated a paid ratings and tipping service, each week I selected some of these horses to give to our members with pretty good results.