Hi LG,

Unfortunately, you are absolutely correct!

It has to do with a few things we see all the time. The only way to succeed is to execute consistently! Oh.... a winning method sure helps but a winning method does not automatically mean that you will win.

So what causes people to fail executing consistently? Most are not prepared for the risk and commitment involved using their chosen method. Unfortunately many methods are constructed on evidence of a few weeks worth of data or small sample size and changed frequently. What is left is just chaos and the results that you mentioned ensue.

People are very comfortable looking at a test of their method seeing a run of outs of say 20 or what ever; because they have the crystal ball of seeing the overall results. They don't even think what this sort of run of outs can do for their mental stability when you have to place the 21st bet blind in real life betting or that it may take months for them to get through that run. Especially if their betting bank or bet size is not correct. Looking at the end test results does not prepare you. Unless you know exactly what the risks are, using a long term test and adjusting your betting to the system/method specifically then most people stand no chance.

Simply stated most punters are not prepared for what punting is really about and many punters also have a very distorted expectations often based on incomplete results or advertising.

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/